In an article earlier as we speak analyzing the Rockies’ plans for the upcoming offseason, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Publish reported that the membership intends to decrease their payroll headed into the 2025 marketing campaign. Per Saunders, these plans to decrease payroll include an expectation that the membership will store second baseman Brendan Rodgers, lefty starter Austin Gomber, and righty starter Cal Quantrill on the commerce market this winter.
The information absolutely comes as a irritating flip of occasions for Rockies followers because the membership comes off its second consecutive season with greater than 100 losses. Whereas the membership loved encouraging steps ahead for younger gamers like Michael Toglia, Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tovar, and Ryan Feltner, that constructive momentum was in some methods offset by a serious step again for 2023 standout Nolan Jones and the retirement of stalwart DH Charlie Blackmon. Now, a lowered payroll and the probably departure of three secure regulars from the membership’s roster depart the Rockies with much more query marks forward of an offseason that already featured loads of uncertainty.
Whereas Saunders doesn’t get into particular numbers concerning the membership’s payroll plans for 2025, he does observe that the membership’s $147.3MM payroll for 2024 is predicted to return down subsequent yr even after factoring within the departure of Blackmon, who made $13MM this yr. That will counsel a payroll that maxes out within the $130MM vary and will finally clock in someplace beneath even that diminished determine. That leaves the Rockies with little or no room to maneuver this winter on condition that RosterResource tasks the membership for a payroll of only a hair underneath $130MM in 2025 already.
Provided that, it’s not essentially a shock that the membership would look to commerce a few of its dearer arbitration stage gamers like Rodgers, Gomber, and Quantrill. The trio is projected by MLBTR contributor Matt Schwartz to make a mixed $20.1MM of their closing journeys via arbitration this yr. The majority of that comes from a $9MM wage as a result of Quantrill, who Saunders suggests the Rockies usually tend to transfer on from than Gomber. Buying and selling Quantrill and Gomber would unlock a mixed $14.6MM within the membership’s price range but additionally give the membership the chance to open up begins for younger hurlers Saunders notes the Rockies see as knocking on the door of the majors, together with ninth-overall choose of final yr’s draft Chase Dollander in addition to southpaws Sean Sullivan and Carson Palmquist,
Quantrill and Gomber have been each the topic of commerce rumors previous to this summer season’s deadline, although neither finally wound up altering groups. Because the pair head into their closing seasons of arbitration eligibility, Quantrill has extra large league success on his resume of the 2. The suitable-hander put up unbelievable numbers in Cleveland from 2021 to 2022, first as a swing man after which as a full-time starter. Throughout these two seasons, Quantrill pitched to a 3.16 ERA with a 4.10 FIP in 72 appearances, together with 54 begins. With that being mentioned, nonetheless, the righty’s 2023 season with the Guardians left a lot to be desired (5.24 ERA in 19 begins) and led the membership to designate him for task final November, at which level he was dealt to the Rockies.
Quantrill’s 2024 marketing campaign in Colorado was one thing of a blended bag. The righty managed to make 29 begins and throw 148 1/3 innings, and his 4.98 ERA was roughly league common (93 ERA+) after factoring within the inflated offensive setting at Coors Area. With that being mentioned, Quantrill additionally posted the very best stroll charge (10.5%) of his profession in opposition to a below-average 16.8% strikeout charge. Making issues extra regarding for potential suitors on the commerce market is the truth that Quantrill not solely didn’t pitch considerably higher away from Coors Area this yr, he was truly barely worse on the highway with a 5.04 ERA in 15 away begins. Quantrill’s lackluster general numbers come largely due to a brutal second half that noticed him give up a 7.94 ERA in his closing eight begins of the yr earlier than he was sidelined firstly of September by triceps irritation, leaving loads of query marks concerning what will be anticipated from him in 2025.
Gomber’s 2024 marketing campaign was much like Quantrill’s in some ways. He made 30 begins for the primary time in his profession and threw a career-high 165 innings, and his 4.75 ERA (97 ERA+) was roughly league common when factoring within the inflated offense in Colorado. Gomber’s strikeout charge (16.7%) was additionally lackluster, although Gomber does have a number of notable benefits that would make him extra engaging to potential commerce companions. For one factor, he held opposing hitters to a wonderful 5.5% stroll charge, good for the ninth-lowest determine amongst all certified starters this yr. Moreover, Gomber’s efficiency in away video games was a lot stronger than Quantrill’s as his ERA went down from 4.97 in house video games to 4.55 on the highway. These constructive elements mixed with Gomber’s cheap $5.6MM wage projection for subsequent yr might make him a beautiful commerce goal for golf equipment in want of cost-controlled pitching subsequent yr.
Rodgers might show to be essentially the most engaging commerce piece of the trio. The 28-year-old has usually been a roughly league common bat lately, slashing a stable .270/.321/.421 because the begin of the 2021 season. That’s good for a 91 wRC+ after adjusting for the park elements Rodgers advantages from at Coors, however his worth isn’t tied solely to his bat as he’s additionally a high quality defender at second base. Rodgers gained the NL Gold Glove award for his work on the keystone in 2022 due to an eye-popping +22 Defensive Runs Saved, although after he missed a lot of the 2023 season as a result of shoulder surgical procedure he hasn’t seemed fairly the identical this yr with a lackluster -4 DRS and an identical -3 Outs Above Common. Even so, Rodgers if unspectacular common at second base who might present a comparatively low cost, secure choice for a membership with out a clear answer on the place.
Assuming the Rockies are capable of clear sufficient payroll off the books this winter to make additions, Saunders notes {that a} hitter who can present consistency of their lineup and a veteran reliever are each close to the highest of their listing of priorities this winter. With Blackmon vacating the DH spot and no participant clearly locked into the outfield alongside Jones and Doyle for 2025, it must be pretty straightforward for the membership to work a comparatively cheap nook bat into their lineup this winter, and it’s not tough to seek out veteran bullpen assistance on a budget both in most offseasons.
Past these targets, Saunders notes one particular title the membership figures to focus on in free company this winter is catcher Jacob Stallings, who loved a powerful rebound marketing campaign with the Rockies after being non-tendered by the Marlins final winter. Per Saunders, the Rockies wish to give younger catchers Drew Romo and Hunter Goodman room to develop on the large league stage however might nonetheless to show Stallings as they give the impression of being to bridge the hole for his or her younger backstops. Stallings slashed a wonderful .263/.357/.453 (114 wRC+) in 82 video games with Colorado this yr, though that got here with defensive metrics that have been a far cry from the work that earned him the NL Gold Glove at catcher in 2021.
