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2025 ZiPS Projections: Pittsburgh Pirates

January 22, 2025
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For the twenty first consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For extra data on the ZiPS projections, please seek the advice of this 12 months’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The workforce order is chosen by lot, and the subsequent workforce up is the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Batters

The Pirates received off to a sizzling begin in 2024, profitable 10 of their first 14 video games, however getting swept in consecutive collection in opposition to the Mets and Crimson Sox rapidly vaporized their small early cushion within the NL Central. Pittsburgh didn’t collapse, although, and performed respectable baseball for the subsequent three months; on the commerce deadline, the Pirates stood simply 2 1/2 video games out of the ultimate wild card spot within the NL, with the debut of Paul Skenes serving as a harbinger of hope that higher days could be forward. Pittsburgh made some low-key pickups on the deadline, however none of them made a lot of an influence, and its pitching collapsed in August, sealing the workforce’s 2024 destiny.

Wanting down the lineup, it’s not actually a multitude anyplace – with the potential exception of DH, which makes me unhappy because it’s Andrew McCutchen – but it surely’s exhausting to get previous the sensation of being underwhelmed. Shifting Oneil Cruz to middle subject isn’t the worst thought round, however you’d prefer to see the group’s grand plan contain one thing extra formidable than Isiah Kiner-Falefa enjoying shortstop each day. I do know it’s a pipe dream given their possession, however the Pirates could be an entire lot extra fascinating proper now if after shifting Cruz to the outfield, they’d splurged on, say, Willy Adames in free company. Alas.

Nonetheless, there are some issues to love, if not love, with this lineup getting into 2025. Nick Gonzales has improved sufficient that he’s a wonderfully wonderful second baseman, albeit not one more likely to make any All-Star appearances. ZiPS is optimistic about Spencer Horwitz’s bat at first base, and it was a pleasant little transfer to get him for Luis L. Ortiz and hope he’ll see some constructive regression from his .243 BABIP. I feel we’ve reached the purpose at which we acknowledge that Ke’Bryan Hayes doesn’t have the offensive upside that he confirmed in a really temporary debut, however he’s nonetheless received a terrific glove; ZiPS tasks a much more typical season for him. I’m nonetheless not bought on Joey Bart, however I additionally assume Endy Rodríguez has a fairly first rate ceiling as long as he’s totally recovered from his UCL harm, so catcher isn’t actually an issue place for Pittsburgh.

I hope that Bryan Reynolds has had sufficient consecutive 2-3 WAR seasons that folks cease sending me offended DMs about ZiPS projecting him to have 2-3 WAR seasons! It’s good that the Pirates really paid to maintain him round, however Reynolds can also be only a stable participant, not a star. Proper subject feels extra like a set of position gamers assembled moderately than an actual upside place, however ZiPS does consider Jack Suwinski can get again to his 2022-2023 degree of offense after a completely brutal 2024.

The Pirates’ lineup is… OK… ish. I feel what lends to the pallor is that it simply doesn’t really feel like there’s a lot of a ceiling right here. A reclamation mission or a big gamble or two, moderately than filling out the roster with recognized portions, would have been much more fascinating at a few of these positions. McCutchen isn’t going to all of the sudden be 25 once more. The massive exception could be Henry Davis, however he was brutal sufficient in his very temporary time within the majors that he’s seemingly going to should proceed raking at Triple-A earlier than he will get one other shot within the majors, and probably reply the query of what place he ought to play (if any).

Pitchers

Paul Skenes and Mitch Keller are a double reminder that the Pirates — regardless that they’ve completed with a profitable file simply as soon as (barely) during the last 9 seasons — do not less than some issues much better than within the bleakest days of the Cam Bonifay/David Littlefield period. Skenes was the suitable man to soak up the draft, and Pittsburgh did an excellent job with him, selling him rapidly with confidence whereas ramping up his pitch depend slowly and absolutely. Again within the unhealthy previous days, there’s no likelihood that Keller would have gotten a five-year contract extension. Skenes and Keller are a stable one-two punch, and ZiPS has loads of confidence that Jared Jones can construct upon his rookie 12 months success.

The again of the rotation is ample. Bailey Falter is extraordinarily hittable, however not less than he’s growing into a good fourth-starter/innings-eater kind. Johan Oviedo, Bubba Chandler, and Braxton Ashcraft all get projections in the identical common realm as Falter, and ZiPS additionally consists of Thomas Harrington in that very same tier. General, it is a stable employees due to its first three pitchers, however none of those different guys are breakout candidates, so the ceiling of Pittsburgh’s rotation is restricted. Due to Skenes, Keller, and Jones, the Pirates most likely have the makings of a top-10 rotation in baseball, and regardless that this group most likely received’t climb into the highest 5, this quantities to a workforce spotlight.

The bullpen appears rather a lot just like the rotation, besides it doesn’t have a reliever of Skenes’ caliber. It’s a bit Olive Backyard-esque, which I don’t really imply as an insult. There’s nothing thrilling concerning the bullpen, however not less than many of the relievers are first rate, if considerably interchangeable. ZiPS tasks seven Pirates relievers to complete with an ERA+ between 100 and David Bednar’s 116, with no one projecting above that mark. That’s not the top of the world; for those who’ve seen an episode of Kitchen Nightmares, you need to be conscious that the standard of latest eating places can fluctuate extensively, whereas middle-of-the-road chains are recognized commodities. This bullpen will maintain leads in addition to Olive Backyard’s infinite breadsticks will get you per week’s value of carbs on a budget, however neither would be the spotlight of your Instagram. He didn’t get an awesome projection, however Kyle Nicolas in a relief-only position could be essentially the most fascinating of Pittsburgh’s non-established relievers, with sufficient nastiness to his stuff that he may blossom if his command improves.

ZiPS sees the Pirates as a .500 workforce, however within the very early workforce projections I’ve run, they only have much less upside than the remainder of the division. If ZiPS is correct, it’s definitely a priority for the lowest-spending workforce within the division to have the bottom ceiling as effectively. Contemplating this, if the Pirates aren’t going to spend extra — which they absolutely won’t — they need to as an alternative roll the cube a bit bit extra to get some low-cost, high-upside gamers. As of now, although, that isn’t what they’re doing, and that’s a disgrace as a result of they do have some younger and thrilling stars who may make for a proficient core if possession have been keen to encompass them with some succesful complementary items. Even so, the intense spots of this total lackluster roster ought to provide followers sufficient of a cause to observe the Pirates this 12 months.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by means of these listed right here. Dimension of participant names could be very roughly proportional to Depth Chart enjoying time. The ultimate workforce projections might differ significantly from our Depth Chart enjoying time.

Batters – Normal

Participant
B
Age
PO
PA
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS

Oneil Cruz
L
26
CF
587
529
80
134
28
4
24
80
52
168
20
3

Spencer Horwitz
L
27
1B
588
508
70
139
35
1
12
63
68
102
3
2

Nick Gonzales
R
26
2B
523
474
66
125
32
5
11
66
35
117
4
4

Bryan Reynolds
B
30
LF
644
574
74
153
28
4
21
84
57
139
8
2

Ke’Bryan Hayes
R
28
3B
459
422
51
106
20
2
8
43
31
89
11
3

Jared Triolo
R
27
3B
457
407
50
100
19
2
7
46
43
114
10
2

Endy Rodríguez
B
25
C
467
426
60
104
26
3
10
53
34
96
2
1

Jack Suwinski
L
26
CF
508
441
61
102
21
3
22
67
57
151
12
2

Bryce Johnson
B
29
CF
379
331
49
83
15
3
4
36
35
91
16
3

Henry Davis
R
25
C
409
356
48
83
18
1
13
53
37
109
6
3

Ji Hwan Bae
L
25
CF
434
390
64
102
18
4
6
44
38
99
19
6

Yasmani Grandal
B
36
C
320
277
29
64
10
0
9
30
38
67
1
0

Nick Yorke
R
23
2B
553
504
66
124
24
1
10
54
42
127
12
5

Michael A. Taylor
R
34
CF
355
321
40
71
10
1
9
32
26
113
10
2

Liover Peguero
R
24
SS
557
515
61
123
26
3
11
61
32
137
13
4

Joey Bart
R
28
C
317
284
39
69
12
0
10
38
25
88
0
0

Trey Cabbage
L
28
RF
412
372
55
88
21
2
15
52
34
148
15
4

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
R
30
2B
477
442
51
116
18
2
5
42
23
72
12
3

Billy Cook dinner
R
26
1B
504
457
55
106
20
4
14
59
35
140
16
4

Tsung-Che Cheng
L
23
SS
529
465
63
105
22
3
8
50
44
130
12
6

Joshua Palacios
L
29
RF
354
320
44
84
17
2
9
43
26
74
7
3

Enmanuel Valdez
L
26
2B
469
422
52
98
22
1
15
52
40
110
4
2

Jack Brannigan
R
24
SS
349
312
45
68
13
2
9
41
28
107
7
2

Tristan Grey
L
29
3B
476
437
50
94
21
2
15
53
31
145
1
1

Shawn Ross
R
25
C
353
310
38
54
10
1
12
38
35
144
4
1

Connor Joe
R
32
1B
408
355
48
82
20
2
9
36
45
92
2
2

Matt Gorski
R
27
CF
425
393
52
88
20
3
15
55
25
131
11
5

Jason Delay
R
30
C
224
204
22
48
12
0
2
20
14
47
1
1

Alika Williams
R
26
SS
374
339
43
82
16
2
4
31
25
78
3
2

Nick Solak
R
30
LF
381
338
44
84
15
1
6
40
32
72
6
2

Termarr Johnson
L
21
2B
550
476
66
100
17
1
10
54
61
140
10
3

Jake Lamb
L
34
1B
370
327
39
77
17
1
7
36
34
91
0
1

Omar Alfonzo
L
21
C
434
392
39
83
15
1
8
42
39
128
1
1

Andrés Alvarez
R
28
2B
357
320
37
71
15
2
7
37
28
103
6
2

Andrew McCutchen
R
38
DH
442
382
51
86
17
0
13
44
53
109
4
2

Jase Bowen
R
24
CF
492
453
54
102
17
3
10
53
23
139
13
4

Billy McKinney
L
30
LF
292
257
31
59
11
1
7
32
29
79
1
1

Joe Perez
R
25
1B
397
366
38
90
18
1
9
39
27
123
2
1

Nick Cimillo
R
25
1B
427
380
49
85
17
1
13
48
43
106
2
0

Rowdy Tellez
L
30
1B
451
406
40
98
18
0
16
56
39
94
1
0

Darick Corridor
L
29
1B
470
427
42
96
20
0
15
50
36
115
1
1

Tres Gonzalez
L
24
LF
427
380
42
91
14
1
2
34
31
94
8
6

Abrahan Gutierrez
R
25
C
297
273
25
63
14
1
3
27
19
63
1
1

Eli Wilson
R
26
C
179
162
16
33
6
1
3
18
12
49
2
1

Duce Gourson
L
22
2B
100
85
10
15
4
0
0
9
10
25
2
1

Seth Beer
L
28
1B
433
385
41
89
19
1
9
52
28
103
1
0

Carter Bins
R
26
C
297
266
31
50
13
1
7
32
24
117
2
1

Geovanny Planchart
R
23
C
250
222
21
43
8
1
2
18
25
68
0
1

Matt Fraizer
L
27
RF
431
398
47
90
17
3
6
42
27
117
10
3

Kervin Pichardo
R
23
2B
428
392
44
86
14
1
9
43
24
135
4
2

Malcom Nuñez
R
24
3B
495
452
49
104
18
0
10
49
33
111
2
2

Jose Rojas
L
32
DH
364
327
40
67
17
1
13
42
33
84
3
1

DJ Stewart
L
31
RF
339
295
33
62
11
1
9
34
35
91
4
1

Wyatt Hendrie
R
26
C
246
223
24
44
8
1
2
21
15
80
5
0

Sammy Siani
L
24
CF
451
409
50
91
16
3
6
42
34
123
9
5

Sergio Campana
R
23
CF
252
220
27
41
8
1
2
20
25
108
13
4

Mitch Jebb
L
23
2B
515
465
62
103
13
7
3
39
39
109
21
6

P.J. Hilson
R
24
CF
358
334
51
72
14
2
8
38
15
104
8
2

Jackson Glenn
R
27
2B
322
297
30
61
14
1
4
28
18
94
2
1

Aaron McKeithan
R
25
C
248
220
17
50
6
1
2
23
17
46
0
0

Grant Koch
R
28
C
164
151
16
28
5
0
3
14
10
54
0
0

Mike Jarvis
R
27
3B
295
272
31
52
8
2
4
26
16
82
10
2

Mason Martin
L
26
DH
403
362
39
70
17
2
15
52
32
169
3
2

Javier Rivas
R
22
SS
422
391
33
78
14
2
7
43
13
160
4
3

Aaron Shackelford
L
28
1B
371
339
34
66
15
2
11
43
24
129
4
1

Brenden Dixon
R
24
3B
285
255
26
50
9
1
7
29
25
100
3
1

Hudson Head
L
24
LF
413
373
45
73
14
3
7
40
29
147
4
3

Dustin Peterson
R
30
DH
334
304
33
64
13
0
8
32
24
94
3
1

Maikol Escotto
R
23
3B
286
270
29
53
10
1
5
25
11
99
5
3

Lonnie White Jr.
R
22
CF
371
334
39
60
13
2
8
39
26
136
8
4

Luke Brown
L
26
LF
244
219
27
39
7
1
3
21
18
82
5
1

Josiah Sightler
L
25
1B
318
291
29
61
7
1
8
32
21
140
1
0

Kalae Harrison
L
23
3B
255
229
22
38
7
0
1
15
19
78
5
2

Batters – Superior

Participant
PA
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS+
ISO
BABIP
Def
WAR
wOBA
3YOPS+
RC

Oneil Cruz
587
.253
.322
.458
114
.204
.327
-2
2.9
.333
116
83

Spencer Horwitz
588
.273
.366
.417
118
.144
.322
4
2.6
.344
116
79

Nick Gonzales
523
.264
.324
.422
106
.158
.329
5
2.6
.323
107
67

Bryan Reynolds
644
.266
.340
.439
115
.172
.319
0
2.4
.337
111
88

Ke’Bryan Hayes
459
.251
.305
.365
86
.114
.301
9
1.8
.294
86
50

Jared Triolo
457
.246
.322
.354
88
.108
.325
6
1.7
.300
90
49

Endy Rodríguez
467
.244
.304
.390
91
.146
.294
0
1.7
.303
90
51

Jack Suwinski
508
.231
.323
.443
111
.211
.299
-9
1.7
.330
112
66

Bryce Johnson
379
.250
.333
.350
91
.100
.334
2
1.4
.306
89
43

Henry Davis
409
.233
.326
.399
101
.166
.299
-7
1.3
.318
101
49

Ji Hwan Bae
434
.262
.328
.374
95
.113
.337
-1
1.3
.309
96
54

Yasmani Grandal
320
.231
.326
.365
93
.134
.274
0
1.3
.308
88
33

Nick Yorke
553
.246
.307
.357
84
.111
.310
3
1.3
.293
88
60

Michael A. Taylor
355
.221
.281
.343
73
.121
.311
9
1.1
.275
68
34

Liover Peguero
557
.239
.285
.365
79
.126
.305
1
1.1
.284
81
58

Joey Bart
317
.243
.319
.391
96
.148
.317
-3
1.1
.313
95
36

Trey Cabbage
412
.236
.304
.424
100
.188
.349
1
1.0
.315
102
53

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
477
.262
.308
.346
82
.084
.304
3
1.0
.288
80
51

Billy Cook dinner
504
.232
.296
.385
88
.153
.303
9
1.0
.297
89
57

Tsung-Che Cheng
529
.226
.295
.337
76
.112
.296
2
1.0
.281
81
51

Joshua Palacios
354
.262
.326
.412
104
.150
.316
1
0.9
.322
97
46

Enmanuel Valdez
469
.232
.299
.396
91
.164
.280
-3
0.9
.302
93
51

Jack Brannigan
349
.218
.293
.359
80
.141
.301
0
0.8
.288
85
35

Tristan Grey
476
.215
.273
.375
78
.160
.285
5
0.8
.283
78
46

Shawn Ross
353
.174
.267
.329
65
.155
.273
6
0.8
.265
68
28

Connor Joe
408
.231
.326
.374
95
.144
.287
3
0.8
.311
91
45

Matt Gorski
425
.224
.271
.404
85
.180
.295
0
0.6
.290
86
47

Jason Delay
224
.235
.293
.324
72
.088
.297
4
0.6
.275
72
20

Alika Williams
374
.242
.298
.336
76
.094
.303
1
0.6
.281
76
35

Nick Solak
381
.248
.328
.352
90
.104
.300
2
0.5
.304
89
41

Termarr Johnson
550
.210
.307
.313
74
.103
.276
1
0.5
.281
79
49

Jake Lamb
370
.235
.316
.358
87
.122
.305
5
0.5
.298
83
37

Omar Alfonzo
434
.212
.286
.317
68
.105
.293
2
0.5
.269
76
36

Andrés Alvarez
357
.222
.291
.347
77
.125
.305
2
0.5
.282
76
34

Andrew McCutchen
442
.225
.324
.372
93
.147
.281
0
0.4
.308
86
48

Jase Bowen
492
.225
.274
.342
70
.117
.303
3
0.3
.271
74
47

Billy McKinney
292
.229
.315
.361
88
.132
.303
2
0.3
.298
86
30

Joe Perez
397
.246
.300
.374
86
.128
.346
3
0.2
.295
88
42

Nick Cimillo
427
.224
.307
.376
89
.153
.276
0
0.2
.302
92
44

Rowdy Tellez
451
.241
.308
.404
96
.163
.277
-3
0.1
.308
95
51

Darick Corridor
470
.225
.289
.377
84
.152
.272
4
0.1
.290
84
47

Tres Gonzalez
427
.240
.306
.298
70
.058
.314
9
0.1
.272
70
39

Abrahan Gutierrez
297
.231
.290
.323
70
.092
.290
-2
0.1
.272
70
26

Eli Wilson
179
.204
.270
.309
61
.105
.273
0
0.0
.258
67
14

Duce Gourson
100
.176
.300
.224
49
.047
.250
2
0.0
.252
57
7

Seth Beer
433
.231
.309
.356
85
.125
.293
1
0.0
.295
84
43

Carter Bins
297
.188
.270
.324
65
.136
.304
-2
-0.1
.265
67
24

Geovanny Planchart
250
.194
.280
.266
54
.072
.270
1
-0.1
.250
54
17

Matt Fraizer
431
.226
.281
.329
69
.103
.305
6
-0.1
.269
71
40

Kervin Pichardo
428
.219
.276
.329
68
.110
.311
0
-0.2
.269
71
38

Malcom Nuñez
495
.230
.287
.336
73
.106
.284
-3
-0.2
.275
76
45

Jose Rojas
364
.205
.280
.383
82
.178
.235
0
-0.3
.288
77
36

DJ Stewart
339
.210
.307
.346
82
.136
.272
-4
-0.3
.293
80
32

Wyatt Hendrie
246
.197
.259
.269
48
.072
.298
0
-0.4
.239
52
17

Sammy Siani
451
.223
.286
.321
69
.098
.304
-3
-0.4
.270
73
41

Sergio Campana
252
.186
.280
.259
52
.073
.354
0
-0.4
.249
60
20

Mitch Jebb
515
.222
.284
.299
63
.077
.284
-2
-0.5
.261
66
46

P.J. Hilson
358
.215
.261
.341
66
.126
.288
-3
-0.6
.262
69
32

Jackson Glenn
322
.205
.254
.299
53
.094
.286
1
-0.6
.245
55
24

Aaron McKeithan
248
.227
.302
.291
67
.064
.279
-8
-0.6
.270
72
20

Grant Koch
164
.185
.244
.278
45
.093
.265
-2
-0.6
.234
46
10

Mike Jarvis
295
.191
.248
.280
47
.088
.259
2
-0.6
.236
52
22

Mason Martin
403
.193
.268
.376
77
.182
.309
0
-0.6
.280
81
38

Javier Rivas
422
.199
.243
.299
50
.100
.316
2
-0.7
.240
55
30

Aaron Shackelford
371
.195
.259
.348
67
.153
.277
3
-0.7
.265
66
32

Brenden Dixon
285
.196
.274
.322
65
.125
.290
-5
-0.7
.266
68
23

Hudson Head
413
.196
.265
.305
59
.110
.301
6
-0.7
.254
62
33

Dustin Peterson
334
.210
.272
.332
67
.122
.277
0
-0.8
.267
64
28

Maikol Escotto
286
.196
.232
.296
46
.100
.289
2
-0.8
.232
49
21

Lonnie White Jr.
371
.180
.259
.302
56
.123
.274
-2
-0.8
.252
62
29

Luke Brown
244
.178
.248
.260
42
.082
.268
3
-0.9
.231
47
16

Josiah Sightler
318
.210
.270
.323
65
.114
.372
-1
-1.0
.262
70
26

Kalae Harrison
255
.166
.235
.209
25
.044
.246
1
-1.3
.206
29
13

Batters – High Close to-Age Offensive Comps

Batters – eightieth/twentieth Percentiles

Participant
eightieth BA
eightieth OBP
eightieth SLG
eightieth OPS+
eightieth WAR
twentieth BA
twentieth OBP
twentieth SLG
twentieth OPS+
twentieth WAR

Oneil Cruz
.282
.347
.519
134
4.5
.225
.292
.408
91
1.4

Spencer Horwitz
.299
.391
.465
135
3.9
.244
.338
.376
99
1.3

Nick Gonzales
.291
.352
.473
128
3.9
.240
.298
.371
86
1.4

Bryan Reynolds
.293
.365
.488
134
3.8
.240
.314
.394
99
1.0

Ke’Bryan Hayes
.273
.329
.411
104
2.8
.222
.279
.322
67
0.7

Jared Triolo
.274
.349
.402
106
2.7
.218
.291
.314
67
0.6

Endy Rodríguez
.271
.329
.442
112
2.8
.216
.278
.347
75
0.7

Jack Suwinski
.256
.350
.505
131
2.9
.205
.295
.392
91
0.5

Bryce Johnson
.280
.360
.392
109
2.3
.222
.304
.302
71
0.5

Henry Davis
.261
.354
.454
119
2.3
.205
.298
.337
76
0.2

Ji Hwan Bae
.289
.354
.419
113
2.2
.231
.298
.327
77
0.2

Yasmani Grandal
.259
.352
.410
110
2.0
.199
.295
.314
72
0.5

Nick Yorke
.270
.333
.407
102
2.5
.218
.281
.321
67
0.0

Michael A. Taylor
.253
.314
.401
97
2.1
.188
.249
.284
50
0.1

Liover Peguero
.264
.310
.410
98
2.3
.213
.262
.322
61
-0.2

Joey Bart
.270
.347
.442
117
1.9
.208
.289
.336
73
0.2

Trey Cabbage
.269
.333
.485
124
2.3
.205
.273
.367
77
-0.1

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
.294
.335
.385
99
2.1
.236
.279
.304
61
-0.2

Billy Cook dinner
.264
.324
.443
110
2.5
.207
.269
.340
69
-0.2

Tsung-Che Cheng
.255
.321
.383
95
2.3
.202
.272
.300
60
-0.1

Joshua Palacios
.299
.358
.463
126
1.9
.234
.299
.358
84
0.1

Enmanuel Valdez
.258
.323
.441
109
1.9
.209
.275
.347
73
-0.2

Jack Brannigan
.249
.324
.415
103
1.7
.193
.271
.302
59
-0.1

Tristan Grey
.240
.296
.430
97
1.9
.190
.248
.332
61
-0.2

Shawn Ross
.204
.298
.388
88
1.8
.147
.235
.275
44
-0.1

Connor Joe
.258
.352
.425
115
1.7
.206
.301
.330
75
-0.3

Matt Gorski
.250
.297
.452
103
1.7
.199
.245
.353
64
-0.4

Jason Delay
.272
.330
.369
95
1.3
.207
.264
.278
51
0.1

Alika Williams
.272
.327
.381
96
1.5
.212
.269
.294
57
-0.3

Nick Solak
.279
.360
.400
111
1.5
.223
.303
.314
72
-0.3

Termarr Johnson
.240
.333
.363
92
1.8
.185
.284
.274
57
-0.6

Jake Lamb
.267
.345
.405
107
1.3
.207
.288
.310
66
-0.4

Omar Alfonzo
.248
.317
.373
92
1.7
.181
.249
.270
46
-0.7

Andrés Alvarez
.253
.321
.402
98
1.4
.192
.263
.297
55
-0.4

Andrew McCutchen
.256
.356
.424
114
1.5
.201
.294
.326
75
-0.7

Jase Bowen
.250
.300
.391
88
1.4
.199
.252
.302
53
-0.8

Billy McKinney
.257
.346
.414
109
1.0
.201
.288
.316
68
-0.5

Joe Perez
.272
.325
.428
105
1.1
.217
.269
.333
68
-0.7

Nick Cimillo
.253
.336
.426
110
1.3
.196
.280
.324
70
-0.8

Rowdy Tellez
.268
.336
.456
114
1.2
.211
.282
.349
76
-1.0

Darick Corridor
.251
.314
.429
106
1.4
.197
.260
.326
66
-1.0

Tres Gonzalez
.268
.333
.332
85
0.9
.213
.280
.265
53
-0.8

Abrahan Gutierrez
.259
.320
.366
91
0.9
.200
.262
.283
53
-0.6

Eli Wilson
.235
.303
.363
84
0.5
.172
.241
.257
40
-0.5

Duce Gourson
.210
.332
.274
72
0.3
.150
.275
.186
32
-0.2

Seth Beer
.262
.338
.409
106
1.1
.201
.281
.314
67
-1.0

Carter Bins
.218
.299
.379
85
0.6
.156
.238
.271
43
-0.9

Geovanny Planchart
.230
.318
.312
76
0.6
.162
.252
.221
35
-0.7

Matt Fraizer
.253
.308
.373
88
0.8
.202
.257
.294
52
-1.1

Kervin Pichardo
.248
.303
.378
89
1.0
.191
.248
.282
49
-1.1

Malcom Nuñez
.257
.312
.378
90
0.8
.205
.260
.299
57
-1.2

Jose Rojas
.232
.309
.449
105
0.8
.175
.250
.328
58
-1.4

DJ Stewart
.235
.334
.397
102
0.5
.181
.276
.293
59
-1.2

Wyatt Hendrie
.229
.293
.318
70
0.3
.164
.229
.228
26
-1.0

Sammy Siani
.250
.312
.365
87
0.6
.194
.260
.286
53
-1.3

Sergio Campana
.221
.320
.310
74
0.3
.157
.251
.218
34
-1.1

Mitch Jebb
.252
.312
.338
81
0.8
.200
.259
.261
47
-1.5

P.J. Hilson
.244
.288
.393
87
0.3
.190
.238
.304
50
-1.3

Jackson Glenn
.237
.283
.345
72
0.2
.177
.226
.252
35
-1.4

Aaron McKeithan
.258
.333
.333
86
0.0
.193
.273
.252
49
-1.1

Grant Koch
.218
.283
.331
67
-0.1
.156
.214
.238
26
-1.0

Mike Jarvis
.219
.276
.329
65
0.0
.166
.224
.237
29
-1.3

Mason Martin
.222
.297
.433
97
0.4
.166
.240
.318
55
-1.6

Javier Rivas
.226
.270
.352
71
0.4
.173
.218
.257
33
-1.5

Aaron Shackelford
.225
.283
.406
87
0.2
.171
.230
.299
47
-1.6

Brenden Dixon
.225
.303
.373
85
0.0
.169
.248
.278
49
-1.3

Hudson Head
.227
.297
.342
75
0.2
.173
.242
.258
40
-1.6

Dustin Peterson
.239
.305
.385
88
0.1
.182
.245
.291
49
-1.5

Maikol Escotto
.222
.257
.338
62
-0.3
.167
.204
.248
25
-1.6

Lonnie White Jr.
.206
.284
.350
75
0.0
.153
.234
.255
39
-1.6

Luke Brown
.210
.283
.307
64
-0.2
.154
.221
.224
25
-1.4

Josiah Sightler
.247
.304
.372
87
-0.1
.178
.237
.268
43
-1.8

Kalae Harrison
.197
.266
.242
42
-0.8
.142
.207
.176
9
-1.9

Batters – Platoon Splits

Participant
BA vs. L
OBP vs. L
SLG vs. L
BA vs. R
OBP vs. R
SLG vs. R

Oneil Cruz
.243
.305
.422
.258
.330
.475

Spencer Horwitz
.259
.344
.373
.281
.376
.439

Nick Gonzales
.272
.331
.438
.260
.320
.413

Bryan Reynolds
.272
.335
.439
.264
.342
.439

Ke’Bryan Hayes
.267
.322
.405
.244
.297
.347

Jared Triolo
.253
.335
.373
.241
.314
.342

Endy Rodríguez
.252
.310
.403
.240
.300
.382

Jack Suwinski
.225
.312
.413
.234
.328
.455

Bryce Johnson
.252
.327
.359
.250
.338
.345

Henry Davis
.241
.341
.422
.229
.319
.388

Ji Hwan Bae
.250
.312
.350
.268
.337
.388

Yasmani Grandal
.236
.341
.361
.229
.321
.366

Nick Yorke
.242
.308
.345
.248
.307
.363

Michael A. Taylor
.227
.290
.351
.219
.278
.339

Liover Peguero
.249
.297
.381
.234
.279
.356

Joey Bart
.245
.327
.408
.242
.314
.382

Trey Cabbage
.218
.277
.387
.245
.317
.443

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
.265
.315
.348
.261
.304
.345

Billy Cook dinner
.232
.304
.404
.232
.293
.376

Tsung-Che Cheng
.219
.285
.328
.229
.299
.341

Joshua Palacios
.253
.317
.379
.267
.331
.427

Enmanuel Valdez
.220
.284
.348
.238
.307
.420

Jack Brannigan
.215
.298
.376
.219
.292
.352

Tristan Grey
.205
.260
.353
.221
.280
.388

Shawn Ross
.169
.267
.337
.176
.267
.326

Connor Joe
.240
.340
.411
.226
.318
.354

Matt Gorski
.225
.279
.415
.223
.267
.398

Jason Delay
.243
.309
.351
.231
.284
.308

Alika Williams
.240
.301
.355
.243
.297
.326

Nick Solak
.259
.341
.353
.243
.321
.351

Termarr Johnson
.197
.285
.276
.215
.315
.327

Jake Lamb
.213
.294
.293
.242
.323
.377

Omar Alfonzo
.194
.269
.287
.218
.292
.327

Andrés Alvarez
.227
.301
.373
.219
.286
.333

Andrew McCutchen
.232
.336
.404
.223
.319
.360

Jase Bowen
.238
.289
.374
.219
.267
.327

Billy McKinney
.221
.303
.338
.233
.319
.370

Joe Perez
.246
.308
.380
.246
.295
.371

Nick Cimillo
.233
.326
.388
.220
.298
.371

Rowdy Tellez
.237
.306
.371
.243
.309
.414

Darick Corridor
.216
.276
.345
.229
.296
.392

Tres Gonzalez
.232
.298
.263
.242
.308
.309

Abrahan Gutierrez
.240
.303
.330
.225
.282
.318

Eli Wilson
.214
.290
.304
.198
.259
.311

Duce Gourson
.160
.300
.200
.183
.300
.233

Seth Beer
.220
.302
.317
.237
.313
.374

Carter Bins
.189
.280
.337
.187
.263
.316

Geovanny Planchart
.200
.294
.280
.190
.273
.259

Matt Fraizer
.220
.280
.318
.229
.282
.335

Kervin Pichardo
.226
.289
.339
.216
.270
.325

Malcom Nuñez
.237
.296
.349
.226
.282
.329

Jose Rojas
.204
.275
.361
.205
.283
.393

DJ Stewart
.203
.298
.311
.213
.310
.357

Wyatt Hendrie
.197
.260
.282
.197
.259
.263

Sammy Siani
.218
.283
.300
.224
.287
.328

Sergio Campana
.191
.287
.258
.183
.275
.260

Mitch Jebb
.211
.266
.289
.226
.290
.303

P.J. Hilson
.217
.263
.368
.215
.259
.329

Jackson Glenn
.216
.270
.324
.200
.245
.287

Aaron McKeithan
.231
.307
.295
.225
.300
.289

Grant Koch
.185
.254
.278
.186
.238
.278

Mike Jarvis
.194
.248
.280
.190
.247
.279

Mason Martin
.191
.260
.360
.195
.273
.385

Javier Rivas
.195
.244
.293
.201
.243
.302

Aaron Shackelford
.193
.254
.328
.195
.261
.359

Brenden Dixon
.193
.280
.301
.198
.272
.331

Hudson Head
.190
.258
.289
.198
.270
.313

Dustin Peterson
.220
.287
.366
.204
.263
.309

Maikol Escotto
.205
.239
.307
.192
.229
.291

Lonnie White Jr.
.192
.273
.343
.174
.253
.285

Luke Brown
.164
.227
.246
.184
.257
.266

Josiah Sightler
.200
.256
.307
.213
.275
.329

Kalae Harrison
.161
.235
.194
.168
.235
.216

Pitchers – Superior

Participant
IP
Okay/9
BB/9
HR/9
BB%
Okay%
BABIP
ERA+
3ERA+
FIP
ERA-
WAR

Paul Skenes
155.3
10.5
2.5
1.0
6.8%
28.8%
.286
129
130
3.18
77
3.6

Mitch Keller
168.0
8.1
2.6
1.1
6.9%
21.5%
.296
104
102
4.01
96
2.5

Jared Jones
129.7
9.1
2.7
1.1
7.2%
24.3%
.287
108
111
3.80
93
2.2

Bailey Falter
125.7
6.4
2.6
1.2
6.8%
16.9%
.288
96
96
4.44
104
1.4

Thomas Harrington
111.7
7.1
2.4
1.3
6.3%
18.5%
.295
96
100
4.41
104
1.3

Johan Oviedo
109.7
8.2
3.6
1.1
9.3%
21.1%
.287
98
99
4.32
102
1.3

Braxton Ashcraft
81.0
7.3
2.0
1.1
5.3%
19.4%
.299
105
107
3.89
95
1.3

Bubba Chandler
110.0
7.8
3.5
1.2
9.1%
20.0%
.291
93
98
4.59
107
1.1

Carmen Mlodzinski
71.3
7.8
3.5
0.9
9.1%
20.2%
.290
107
109
4.02
93
0.9

Domingo Germán
88.7
7.8
3.1
1.2
8.2%
20.3%
.291
94
90
4.39
107
0.9

Caleb Ferguson
54.7
9.5
3.5
0.5
9.1%
25.0%
.311
127
125
3.20
79
0.8

Sean Sullivan
99.3
6.1
3.2
1.2
8.1%
15.4%
.294
89
94
4.74
112
0.8

David Bednar
60.0
9.6
3.2
0.9
8.4%
25.5%
.291
116
114
3.49
86
0.8

Cam Alldred
75.7
7.3
3.6
1.1
9.1%
18.5%
.295
93
95
4.46
108
0.8

Mike Burrows
73.3
7.4
3.4
1.2
8.8%
18.9%
.282
92
97
4.58
108
0.7

Marco Gonzales
83.3
5.7
2.8
1.4
7.2%
14.7%
.294
88
85
4.94
113
0.7

Anthony Solometo
94.3
6.0
3.8
1.1
9.5%
15.0%
.295
86
92
4.99
116
0.6

Joey Wentz
84.3
9.0
3.9
1.2
10.0%
22.8%
.303
93
97
4.27
107
0.6

Dennis Santana
61.7
8.8
3.5
0.7
9.2%
22.9%
.288
110
108
3.60
91
0.6

Jalen Beeks
71.7
7.5
3.6
0.9
9.2%
19.0%
.306
101
99
4.15
99
0.6

Beau Sulser
75.3
6.1
2.7
1.3
6.9%
15.4%
.305
90
88
4.76
111
0.6

Po-Yu Chen
118.3
5.8
3.3
1.3
8.2%
14.5%
.297
83
89
5.11
120
0.6

Colin Holderman
55.0
9.0
3.8
0.8
9.8%
23.4%
.289
107
107
3.83
94
0.6

Nick Dombkowski
76.0
6.2
3.2
1.2
8.1%
15.6%
.295
91
94
4.67
110
0.5

Wily Peralta
64.7
6.7
4.2
1.3
10.3%
16.5%
.299
89
81
4.99
113
0.5

Kade McClure
59.3
6.4
3.3
1.1
8.5%
16.2%
.303
92
93
4.56
109
0.5

Kyle Nicolas
76.3
8.7
4.6
1.1
11.4%
21.7%
.296
94
96
4.54
107
0.5

Luis Cessa
77.0
5.4
3.4
1.2
8.5%
13.4%
.298
87
84
4.84
114
0.5

Dominic Perachi
95.7
6.5
4.0
1.2
9.8%
16.1%
.297
82
87
5.07
121
0.4

Hunter Stratton
51.0
8.6
3.5
0.9
9.1%
22.3%
.296
103
104
3.94
97
0.4

Aaron Shortridge
80.0
5.7
3.4
1.4
8.4%
14.3%
.296
85
85
5.09
118
0.4

Carson Fulmer
72.7
7.4
4.5
1.0
11.0%
18.4%
.292
91
90
4.61
109
0.4

Chase Shugart
70.3
6.8
3.3
1.2
8.4%
17.1%
.298
91
92
4.61
110
0.4

Daulton Jefferies
54.0
6.5
2.5
1.2
6.4%
16.7%
.304
87
88
4.42
115
0.3

Emmanuel Chapman
68.7
6.9
3.9
1.2
9.8%
17.3%
.295
89
92
4.74
113
0.3

Dauri Moreta
47.7
9.4
3.6
1.3
9.4%
24.6%
.280
101
101
4.31
99
0.3

Chris Gau
45.3
6.9
3.6
1.2
9.0%
17.5%
.295
92
92
4.61
109
0.2

Jaden Woods
57.3
7.8
3.8
0.9
9.6%
20.1%
.298
95
100
4.31
105
0.2

Isaac Mattson
57.7
8.7
5.2
1.1
12.8%
21.7%
.289
89
90
4.74
112
0.2

Peter Strzelecki
51.0
8.3
3.7
1.1
9.5%
21.4%
.297
95
95
4.34
105
0.1

Brady Feigl
55.0
7.7
3.8
1.5
9.3%
19.0%
.309
85
80
5.01
117
0.1

Drake Fellows
64.0
6.2
4.6
1.3
11.3%
15.0%
.296
81
82
5.32
124
0.1

Justin Bruihl
48.7
7.0
3.5
0.9
9.0%
18.1%
.288
94
94
4.49
106
0.1

Justin Meis
69.3
6.9
4.4
1.3
10.9%
16.9%
.296
83
87
5.13
121
0.1

Yerry Rodríguez
50.0
8.5
4.7
1.1
11.6%
21.0%
.308
86
89
4.60
116
0.1

Tyler Samaniego
35.0
7.5
4.1
1.0
10.4%
18.8%
.291
96
98
4.55
104
0.1

Ryder Ryan
53.0
7.1
3.6
1.0
9.1%
18.1%
.298
95
94
4.48
105
0.1

Burch Smith
44.0
7.2
2.7
1.2
6.8%
18.2%
.309
93
86
4.38
107
0.0

Yohan Ramírez
58.3
8.5
4.0
0.8
10.2%
21.5%
.288
94
92
4.36
107
0.0

Ryan Borucki
24.0
9.4
4.5
1.1
11.2%
23.4%
.297
93
89
4.59
107
0.0

Valentin Linarez
56.3
7.2
4.8
1.3
11.7%
17.5%
.294
82
87
5.29
122
0.0

Geronimo Franzua
50.7
8.0
4.1
1.4
10.1%
19.8%
.299
84
84
4.99
119
-0.1

Fineas Del Bonta-Smith
41.7
6.9
3.5
1.3
8.6%
17.3%
.297
88
89
4.81
113
-0.1

Elvis Alvarado
44.0
8.0
4.5
1.2
11.1%
19.7%
.297
85
90
4.95
117
-0.1

Jaycob Deese
52.3
5.2
2.9
1.4
7.3%
12.8%
.301
84
87
5.11
119
-0.1

J.C. Flowers
59.7
6.2
5.1
1.1
12.2%
14.7%
.300
82
84
5.24
122
-0.1

Pitchers – High Close to-Age Comps

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles

Participant
BA vs. L
OBP vs. L
SLG vs. L
BA vs. R
OBP vs. R
SLG vs. R
eightieth WAR
twentieth WAR
eightieth ERA
twentieth ERA

Paul Skenes
.218
.285
.360
.218
.263
.347
4.8
2.4
2.59
3.93

Mitch Keller
.259
.324
.414
.239
.298
.387
3.3
1.5
3.60
4.61

Jared Jones
.227
.298
.362
.240
.293
.404
3.2
1.1
3.21
4.58

Bailey Falter
.262
.300
.411
.259
.316
.434
2.0
0.7
3.93
4.91

Thomas Harrington
.265
.323
.427
.259
.304
.435
2.1
0.6
3.77
5.06

Johan Oviedo
.244
.336
.380
.239
.309
.404
2.0
0.6
3.82
4.89

Braxton Ashcraft
.244
.292
.385
.274
.309
.451
1.9
0.7
3.36
4.65

Bubba Chandler
.262
.345
.467
.241
.310
.368
1.8
0.4
4.04
5.04

Carmen Mlodzinski
.244
.315
.382
.241
.319
.366
1.4
0.3
3.39
4.67

Domingo Germán
.251
.323
.434
.250
.311
.401
1.4
0.3
3.96
5.08

Caleb Ferguson
.229
.321
.300
.237
.314
.345
1.3
0.3
2.62
4.04

Sean Sullivan
.257
.329
.398
.278
.336
.463
1.4
0.2
4.20
5.26

David Bednar
.219
.297
.352
.236
.296
.366
1.4
0.1
2.85
4.56

Cam Alldred
.217
.305
.337
.273
.342
.449
1.1
0.2
4.08
5.27

Mike Burrows
.246
.320
.440
.250
.320
.382
1.2
0.2
4.03
5.15

Marco Gonzales
.284
.337
.432
.272
.325
.469
1.1
0.2
4.28
5.37

Anthony Solometo
.257
.331
.425
.273
.353
.432
1.2
0.1
4.42
5.36

Joey Wentz
.252
.319
.411
.248
.331
.414
1.2
-0.2
3.78
5.52

Dennis Santana
.227
.315
.351
.232
.301
.348
1.0
0.1
3.19
4.56

Jalen Beeks
.235
.313
.400
.268
.342
.399
1.1
-0.1
3.48
5.01

Beau Sulser
.288
.348
.473
.270
.318
.440
1.0
0.0
4.17
5.35

Po-Yu Chen
.290
.361
.477
.262
.331
.430
1.1
-0.1
4.61
5.48

Colin Holderman
.240
.339
.385
.221
.294
.336
1.0
0.0
3.28
4.87

Nick Dombkowski
.253
.324
.414
.275
.330
.446
1.0
0.0
4.11
5.25

Wily Peralta
.278
.357
.476
.258
.336
.394
0.9
0.0
4.17
5.52

Kade McClure
.279
.352
.423
.262
.324
.421
0.9
0.1
4.01
5.24

Kyle Nicolas
.241
.356
.387
.245
.328
.396
1.0
-0.2
3.91
5.30

Luis Cessa
.276
.338
.434
.277
.337
.452
0.8
0.0
4.35
5.35

Dominic Perachi
.243
.331
.387
.277
.357
.454
0.9
-0.1
4.63
5.59

Hunter Stratton
.264
.360
.414
.220
.289
.339
0.8
-0.1
3.43
5.06

Aaron Shortridge
.273
.347
.422
.278
.333
.485
0.8
-0.1
4.46
5.53

Carson Fulmer
.264
.356
.426
.239
.328
.381
0.8
-0.1
3.99
5.33

Chase Shugart
.263
.336
.421
.265
.331
.435
0.8
-0.1
4.17
5.34

Daulton Jefferies
.274
.333
.453
.270
.317
.414
0.6
0.0
4.35
5.61

Emmanuel Chapman
.243
.333
.404
.279
.340
.441
0.7
-0.2
4.26
5.38

Dauri Moreta
.238
.319
.452
.224
.300
.357
0.7
-0.2
3.45
5.26

Chris Gau
.281
.347
.461
.242
.314
.396
0.5
-0.1
4.07
5.27

Jaden Woods
.236
.325
.319
.257
.337
.421
0.6
-0.3
3.87
5.18

Isaac Mattson
.233
.339
.340
.244
.350
.437
0.7
-0.3
3.93
5.51

Peter Strzelecki
.284
.360
.466
.218
.304
.345
0.5
-0.3
3.76
5.30

Brady Feigl
.259
.322
.420
.279
.358
.479
0.6
-0.3
4.10
5.72

Drake Fellows
.293
.385
.463
.248
.331
.414
0.5
-0.4
4.73
5.92

Justin Bruihl
.222
.305
.319
.265
.351
.436
0.5
-0.3
3.80
5.20

Justin Meis
.258
.356
.445
.270
.343
.439
0.5
-0.4
4.56
5.73

Yerry Rodríguez
.270
.369
.438
.243
.333
.383
0.4
-0.4
4.26
5.68

Tyler Samaniego
.227
.320
.318
.261
.343
.446
0.3
-0.2
3.86
5.04

Ryder Ryan
.295
.376
.455
.231
.304
.372
0.5
-0.3
3.75
5.04

Burch Smith
.291
.341
.494
.255
.315
.398
0.3
-0.3
3.73
5.39

Yohan Ramírez
.253
.368
.400
.219
.322
.328
0.5
-0.5
3.84
5.23

Ryan Borucki
.200
.314
.333
.258
.356
.403
0.2
-0.3
3.82
5.55

Valentin Linarez
.273
.376
.465
.250
.343
.403
0.3
-0.4
4.59
5.70

Geronimo Franzua
.250
.329
.375
.265
.348
.478
0.4
-0.6
4.16
5.97

Fineas Del Bonta-Smith
.276
.353
.461
.256
.320
.422
0.2
-0.5
4.18
5.52

Elvis Alvarado
.231
.348
.359
.274
.352
.474
0.2
-0.5
4.28
5.65

Jaycob Deese
.310
.369
.520
.263
.315
.421
0.2
-0.4
4.41
5.51

J.C. Flowers
.268
.366
.402
.270
.367
.437
0.2
-0.6
4.67
5.88

Gamers are listed with their most up-to-date groups wherever potential. This consists of gamers who’re unsigned or have retired, gamers who will miss 2025 as a consequence of harm, and gamers who have been launched in 2024. So sure, for those who see Joe Schmoe, who give up baseball again in August to kind a Norwegian Ukulele Dixieland Jazz band that solely covers songs by The Smiths, he’s nonetheless listed right here deliberately. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.11.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values would possibly differ barely from people who seem within the full launch of ZiPS. Lastly, I’ll advise anybody in opposition to — and would possibly karate chop anybody responsible of — merely including up WAR totals on a depth chart to supply projected workforce WAR. It is very important do not forget that ZiPS is agnostic about enjoying time, and has no details about, for instance, how rapidly a workforce will name up a prospect or what veteran has fallen into disfavor.

As all the time, incorrect projections are both attributable to misinformation, a non-pragmatic actuality, or by the skillful sabotage of our good friend and former editor. You possibly can, nonetheless, nonetheless get mad at me on Twitter or on BlueSky.



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