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Orioles counting on former top prospect to break out

February 18, 2025
in Baseball
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Jackson Holliday is underneath the microscope as he strives to evolve right into a constant drive for the Baltimore Orioles. The 21-year-old former No. 1 decide isn’t just below stress to enhance — he’s anticipated to assist raise a staff combating to regain its footing.

Holliday’s rookie season was a lesson in extremes. After a tough begin — a .059 common with 18 strikeouts in simply 10 video games — he was despatched right down to Triple-A. 

A quick revival adopted his July 31 recall, highlighted by a 10-game stretch the place he blasted 5 residence runs. However that spark fizzled out as he completed the season hitting .189 with 50 strikeouts in August and September, a efficiency that value him an opportunity to contribute within the wild-card spherical.

Holliday’s challenges tackle added weight in a season the place FanGraphs initiatives the Orioles to drop to 83 wins, down from 101 in 2023 and 91 final 12 months, with only a 45.4 % likelihood of constructing the playoffs within the aggressive AL East.

In a quiet offseason for Baltimore, the group made solely a handful of notable strikes — signing outfielder Tyler O’Neill and catcher Gary Sanchez on Dec. 10, 2024 — whereas dropping impactful items like proper fielder Anthony Santander, who powered 44 homers final season, and pitcher Corbin Burnes, who opted for the Arizona Diamondbacks. 

Even veteran catcher Adley Rutschman, the opposite former No. 1 total decide, noticed his offensive manufacturing dip as his OPS fell 100 factors from 2023 to 2024. With beginning pitching anticipated to be led by Zach Eflin, the membership’s offensive woes have positioned a heavier burden on younger gamers like Holliday.

Decided to vary his trajectory, Holliday underwent a bodily transformation this offseason. He arrived at Orioles camp tipping the scales at 200 kilos, up from 188, after a rigorous power coaching routine and a protein-rich food regimen. 

“I just about had floor beef for breakfast day by day,” Holliday informed The Baltimore Banner’s Andy Kostka. This newfound muscle mass is meant to fortify his method on the plate and assist his swing in opposition to main league pitchers.

Holliday’s uncooked expertise is clear in superior metrics. His hard-hit share, sitting at 45.1 %, reveals an inclination to make high quality contact. Statcast defines a hard-hit ball as one exiting at 95 mph or sooner, a statistic that bodes properly for changing potential into manufacturing.

But, the problem stays to refine his swing to scale back strikeouts and persistently capitalize on these hard-hit alternatives. 

“I do know what I have to do. I do know I would like to chop down strikeouts and proceed to hit errors and hit fastballs,” Holliday informed MLB.com’s Jake Rill.

Whereas FanGraphs initiatives a modest 2.4 WAR for him in 2025, the Orioles are dreaming greater. They hope Holliday can mature right into a 4- to 5-WAR participant, an All-Star-level contribution that will mirror, albeit differently, the breakout trajectory of teammate Gunnar Henderson. Such a efficiency may reinvigorate an offense in dire want of dependable manufacturing.

Stress mounts not solely from the staff’s total struggles but in addition from his lineage. Because the son of former MLB All-Star Matt Holliday, expectations are excessive.

Jackson Holliday’s journey represents each the potential for a breakthrough and the cruel actuality of Main League Baseball. If he can harness his improved physicality and uncooked energy whereas tightening his method, the sky might very properly be the restrict for this younger infielder.



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