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Why Dmitry Bivol can avenge loss to Artur Beterbiev

February 22, 2025
in Boxing
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I scored Dmitry Bivol the winner of October’s combat with Artur Beterbiev. It was shut, due to the robust means Beterbiev ended it, however whereas I didn’t assume it was near a theft, given how shut it was, Bivol’s management of the early rounds was what most impressed me.

His jab, and his defence – he didn’t get hit a lot – had been complemented by him touchdown some stinging proper palms. It was a really tactical combat; it was nuanced. Each fighters’ positioning is masterful. To observe them fence, backwards and forwards, with their footwork, was a privilege. It was an amazing combat – it was how aggressive fights on the highest stage usually are.

I count on Saturday’s rematch to be equally tactical aggressive. I anticipate spherical 13 – following the 12 we noticed in October – as an alternative of spherical one. They’re each superb at asserting their kinds, and I count on them to point out that once more. It’ll be backwards and forwards, spherical by spherical. It would even be fought at the next tempo. However it may well in any other case be anticipated to be just like the way it was the primary time round.

Bivol, 34, is among the greatest plus-minus fighters within the sport – that’s, what number of punches he lands versus what number of punches he will get hit with. He has that Soviet Union model of boxing out and in – he’s consistently backwards and forwards, and he stays busy by throwing a number of jabs and his razor sharp proper hand. He’s additionally an awesome counter-puncher, and nice at making opponents miss. He makes opponents fall off-balance after which takes benefit. He’s not recognised as an enormous puncher, however everybody who’s fought him says he hits very onerous.

Beterbiev’s far more of a come-forward fighter than Bivol. He additionally has a powerful defence – he regardless sometimes will get hit with some stable photographs – and favours vying for positions from which he can use his full energy. He makes use of his unbelievable punching energy to punch by way of targets whereas his toes are beneath him.

That energy is such that a number of his earlier opponents haven’t been the identical once more after combating Beterbiev. There’s an opportunity that that might additionally find yourself making use of to Bivol. However aside from some swelling below considered one of his eyes, compared to Beterbiev’s different opponents, Bivol didn’t take a lot punishment in any respect. That harm was additionally what I name “flak” – that’s, harm from his personal glove, from blocking a punch however the influence of blocking step by step inflicting harm. It results in observers believing that fighters have gotten hit greater than they’ve. Nevertheless it’s really very attainable that Bivol, having survived Beterbiev’s energy first time round, is prepared to take extra dangers on Saturday night time.

I take into account it very related that Beterbiev, at 40, is combating once more so rapidly, having usually been used to a lot lengthier layoffs and in addition experiencing accidents earlier than earlier dates with Bivol and Callum Smith. When a fighter will get older the coaching camps could be much more problematic than the fights. I might like to know extra about his restoration from that first combat and the way his coaching camp was or whether or not he needed to maintain again in any respect.

All that written, I imagine it will be a mistake for Bivol to make main changes. If he tries to be extra aggressive, or take extra dangers, or begin earlier, there’s a great probability he’d get knocked out by such a harmful puncher. The extra time a fighter shares a hoop with Beterbiev, the larger the prospect of them getting knocked out. If he goes out and fights an equivalent combat, the controversy that adopted the scores the primary time implies that he would possibly as an alternative be scored the winner.

I used to be in Sullivan Barrera’s nook when he fought Bivol in 2018, and in that first spherical I watched Bivol, significantly adeptly, step again, make Barrera miss with the jab, and step in as easily as attainable with probably the cleanest, stiffest jab I’ve seen. I regarded on the nook and mentioned, ‘We’re not successful tonight’. It was the primary spherical. 

Beterbiev, like Bivol, is a rhythm fighter, however he’s extra delicate, in that context – he finds his opponent’s rhythm, and punches on that line. In a rematch, by the way in which, a fighter like him could be relied upon to search out that rhythm extra rapidly. I additionally assume that Beterbiev is the narrowly extra clever fighter and the one more likely to have taken probably the most away from their first combat. By comparability, he simplifies every part – he waits for an opponent to be within the place he desires them to be in earlier than throwing the proper punch. Bivol’s footwork is extra advanced; he units his personal rhythm to set the tone, and makes an attempt to alter his opponent’s rhythm. In the end, I’m anticipating an nearly carbon copy of their first combat, adopted by Bivol being awarded a slim determination.

Of the very interesting undercard, the WBC middleweight title combat between the champion Carlos Adames and Hamzah Sheeraz is the one I’m most trying ahead to. It’s a improbable combat – neither is getting the credit score they’re due for combating one another at this stage. 

Adames is extremely underrated. He’s a thoroughbred; tough; robust; has nice approach; energy, and stamina. However Sheeraz is the longer term. The one query that issues, actually, is whether or not the longer term is now. Sheeraz goes to be a number one middleweight, however he won’t be simply but. If he’s not but, he’ll lose to Adames. But when he’s already every part I’m satisfied he’s going to finally show himself, he’ll be a world champion – I charge him so extremely that I favour him to earn a stoppage and take over the division.



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