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The Stakes For Game 7

June 22, 2025
in Basketball
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Like Invoice Russell famously mentioned, the 2 finest phrases in sports activities are sport seven. The Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder and the Indiana Pacers have delivered in spades over the previous few weeks, and the way fortunate are we as basketball followers to have the NBA season conclude with a one-game, winner-take-all showdown for the primary time in 9 years?

Nathaniel S. Butler/Getty Photos

David vs. Goliath

The Thunder entered this sequence as -700 favorites to win their first NBA championship, and a few sportsbooks had them priced as steep as -2200 after a dominant Recreation 5 efficiency gave them a 3-2 lead. With the sequence shifting again to Oklahoma Metropolis for Recreation 7, the Thunder are nonetheless strongly favored by as a lot as 7.5 factors in some markets. 

In accordance with Motion Community, that line at closing would make Oklahoma Metropolis the steepest favourite in a Recreation 7 for the reason that Boston Celtics had been eight-point favorites in opposition to the Los Angeles Lakers in 1966. Nonetheless, the Lakers did shut between -6.5 and 7-point favorites forward of Recreation 7 in opposition to the Celtics in 2010. In accordance with OddsShark, every of the final 4 NBA Finals Recreation 7s have closed between a 5 and seven-point unfold and the profitable staff has lined that unfold 3 times. Moreover, LeBron James and the 2016 Cleveland Cavaliers are the one underdogs which have gained a Recreation 7 this millennium.

What’s On The Line

I point out all that betting jargon solely to correctly contextualize simply how substantial an Indiana Pacers title-clinching victory can be on Sunday. Most basketball followers already understand how unbelievable this playoff run was, even when it falls brief. Nonetheless, if you’re an off-the-cuff otherwise you’ve been minimize off from civilization since April, I’ll present a short refresher with (sadly) some extra betting jargon. The Indiana Pacers entered this season with +6600 (66-to-1!) odds to win the NBA championship, which might make this championship run probably the most unbelievable in any of the 4 main US professional sports activities since 1985.

Another excuse I point out all of those odds is for instance the importance of the historic weight that Oklahoma Metropolis is carrying into this sport. The Thunder are looking for their 84th win of the season, which might make them solely the second franchise in NBA historical past to win no less than 84 video games and the NBA championship in a season. The opposite two groups? Solely Michael Jordan’s Chicago Bulls back-to-back in ‘96 and ‘97. In the event that they lose? They’ll be part of the 2016 Golden State Warriors as the one groups to win 80+ video games in a season with out taking residence the Larry O’Brien trophy.

Legacy Defining Recreation

This sport additionally carries important weight for the legacy of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who’s on the verge of turning into the fourth participant since 2000 to win the NBA MVP, NBA Finals and the NBA Finals MVP in a single season. A loss, however, will put his already fragile stature as a famous person on trial. Stephen Curry’s dud in Recreation 7 of the 2016 NBA Finals remains to be the very first thing introduced up when mentioning his acumen as a big-time performer and that’s a participant who’s tape is way extra simple than Gilgeous-Alexander’s is. 

Once more, that’s all a long-winded approach of claiming that the outcomes of Sunday’s Recreation 7 is not going to solely form the notion of Gilgeous-Alexander’s legacy, however it’s going to additionally develop into the scope by which the rest of his profession is outlined. As nice as LeBron James’ profession has been, his no-show within the 2011 NBA Finals remains to be a major argument in opposition to his legacy within the oh-so-important GOAT debates. As nice as Gilgeous-Alexander has been for the primary six video games, all of it means nothing if he doesn’t carry out to his normal in a Recreation 7 win. If the lots had been so unkind to LeBron and Steph after their notorious failures, I can solely think about the criticism an already polarizing expertise like Gilgeous-Alexander would face.

Stress’s On The Pacers, Too

Whereas the usual trope for an underdog in a sport of this magnitude is that they don’t have anything to lose, I don’t imagine that rings true for the Indiana Pacers. What hangs within the steadiness for considered one of basketball’s proudest fan bases isn’t simply their first NBA title, it’s the completion of the one most unbelievable championship run within the historical past of American sports activities. 

A win places them within the pantheon of the 1969 New York Mets, 2007 New York Giants and the 2011 Dallas Mavericks. A loss locations them alongside the 1999 New York Knicks and 2008 Arizona Cardinals as unbelievable, however largely forgotten runs that fell brief. It could put Tyrese Haliburton into the Dirk Nowitzki tier of franchise legends who led an unbelievable championship run. It could make Pascal Siakam a two-time NBA champion with a possible Finals MVP to his identify, which must encourage some conversations about his standing in historical past.

The Wrap-Up

Now that the stakes are all laid out, all that’s left to do is depend down the hours till Recreation 7 ideas off. These video games are identified to get bizarre, so actually all of those stats, odds, and enjoyable information imply nothing as soon as the referee tosses that ball within the air on Sunday at 8 p.m. EDT. It’s been 9 years for the reason that NBA season got here right down to a grand finale, and if this one is something just like the final time we’re in for what could possibly be a decade-defining two-and-a-half hours of basketball. 



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