Madrid Open Draw 2026 – Perfect Tennis

The 2026 Mutua Madrid Open draw is out, and it’s been considerably reshaped by a wave of high-profile withdrawals.

Carlos Alcaraz (house favorite and two-time champion), Novak Djokovic, Taylor Fritz, Jack Draper, Sebastian Korda and Frances Tiafoe have pulled out, opening up the bracket and giving fortunate losers and replacements a shot on the Caja Mágica’s high-altitude clay.

With Jannik Sinner because the clear high seed and Alexander Zverev because the second favorite in a draw lacking a few of its greatest stars, the trail to the title seems to be extra accessible for some, however who can take out Sinner after his Indian Wells, Miami and Monte Carlo Masters 1000 wins?

Match Data

Madrid Open 2026 Seeds

Seeds

Jannik Sinner
Alexander Zverev
Félix Auger-Aliassime
Ben Shelton
Alex de Minaur
Lorenzo Musetti
Daniil Medvedev
Alexander Bublik
Andrey Rublev
Flavio Cobolli
Jiří Lehečka
Casper Ruud
Karen Khachanov
Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul
Francisco Cerúndolo
Learner Tien
Luciano Darderi
Cameron Norrie
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Arthur Fils
Arthur Rinderknech
Jakub Menšík
Tomás Martín Etcheverry
Corentin Moutet
João Fonseca
Brandon Nakashima
Tallon Griekspoor
Ugo Humbert
Denis Shapovalov
Gabriel Diallo
Alex Michelsen

Wildcards

Defend Rating

Withdrawals

Qualifiers

Fortunate Losers

2026 Madrid Open Draw

High Half

Backside Half

PDF Draw

Ideas on the Draw

First Quarter

Seeded gamers: Jannik Sinner (1), Tommy Paul (15), Cameron Norrie (19), Gabriel Diallo (32), Andrey Rublev (9), Arthur Rinderknech (22), João Fonseca (27), Alex de Minaur (5)

This can be a sturdy however manageable quarter for Sinner, as I simply don’t see who can problem him.

The Italian opens with a qualifier. Diallo is the standout early risk, and his recreation interprets effectively to altitude as he confirmed final 12 months, however Sinner ought to be superb by the primary week.

The Spherical of 16 is the place it will possibly probably sharpen. Paul, Norrie, and Machac are all able to making issues awkward, Machac particularly given current historical past, however none convey an awesome clay pedigree.

The actual intrigue is the underside half of the quarter. De Minaur is the projected opponent, however he’s landed in a minefield.

Jodar might take a look at him instantly, and Fonseca looms as probably the most harmful floaters in the whole draw. Rublev can also be right here, however unpredictable, as he typically performs effectively one week (like simply now in Barcelona) after which poorly the following, so he might dominate or disappear.

Total, this quarter feels fairly simple for Sinner if his shoulder niggle isn’t an excessive amount of of an issue. Loads of harmful names, however no apparent participant acting at a degree near him proper now.

Second Quarter

Seeded gamers: Ben Shelton (4), Tomas Etcheverry (25), Arthur Fils (21), Valentin Vacherot (14), Jiri Lehecka (11), Alex Michelsen (33), Tallon Griekspoor (29), Lorenzo Musetti (6)

That is arguably probably the most aggressive quarter in the whole draw.

Shelton arrives stuffed with confidence after Munich, however he’s been handed a brutal opener in Berrettini. That’s instantly a coin flip. If he survives, the trail doesn’t ease; Etcheverry, Fils, and Vacherot are all able to deep runs.

Fils is the standout hazard. Contemporary off a title and with an enormous forehand, he seems to be like a candidate if he can preserve consistency.

However, Musetti is the confirmed Madrid performer (semi-finalist final 12 months), however his path is difficult, and he’s undercooked in match play.

The Italian has Hurkacz early, then probably Lehecka, a participant who has already proven he can go deep at massive occasions. Tabilo and Struff add additional hazard.

Third Quarter

Seeded gamers: Alexander Bublik (8), Corentin Moutet (26), Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (20), Casper Ruud (12), Francisco Cerundolo (16), Luciano Darderi (18), Brandon Nakashima (28), Felix Auger-Aliassime (3)

Bublik vs Tsitsipas in spherical two could possibly be a enjoyable match; Bublik ought to fancy his possibilities within the situations.

Ruud is the defending champion and one of the best pure clay participant right here, however health considerations dangle over him. If he’s not 100%, this part opens up dramatically.

The Spanish contingent (Davidovich Fokina, Carreño Busta, Munar) provides additional unpredictability, particularly with the group behind them.

Then there’s the Cerundolo–Darderi zone. Each are sturdy clay-courters and will capitalise on Auger-Aliassime’s inconsistency. FAA has a pedigree right here, however not the shape.

Backside Quarter

Seeded gamers: Daniil Medvedev (7), Denis Shapovalov (31), Learner Tien (17), Flavio Cobolli (10), Karen Khachanov (13), Jakub Mensik (23), Ugo Humbert (30), Alexander Zverev (2)

That is the place the draw opens up structurally, with no Alcaraz, and Zverev seems to be like the largest beneficiary.

Medvedev’s part is harmful. Early Shapovalov or Opelka in Madrid situations is just not snug, and the fourth spherical is loaded (Cobolli, Dimitrov, Monfils, Tien). This isn’t a easy path, as he appears to have forgotten easy methods to play since Indian Wells.

Zverev, then again, has a really workable route. Borges/Navone is difficult however manageable, and even the projected challenges, Kecmanovic, Mensik, are ones he ought to deal with if he’s enjoying effectively.

Is it a possible Zverev vs Medvedev quarter-final? Traditionally, Medvedev dominates the matchup, however kind, floor, and situations ought to favour Zverev.

Fascinating First Spherical Matches

Who’s your decide for the 2026 Madrid Open? Let me know within the feedback.