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F1MATHS: What do the numbers reveal about Ferrari’s progress in 2026?

Juli 14, 2026
in Formula 1
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By Balazs Szabo on 14 Jul 2026, 00:00

Ferrari’s 2026 System One marketing campaign has up to now skilled a gradual enchancment each over a single lap and a race distance. Lewis Hamilton’s victory at Barcelona and Charles Leclerc’s triumph at Silverstone are clear indications for Ferrari’s enchancment, however F1Technical’s senior author Balazs Szabo now takes a have a look at how the Scuderia have carried out up to now in qualifying.

The numbers clearly affirm a gradual enchancment over the opening 9 races. Ferrari started the 12 months over one % away from pole place in Australia, however since then have persistently decreased that margin, even when sure circuits uncovered lingering weaknesses—significantly in energy unit vitality deployment.

Australia: A tough start line

The season opened with Mercedes producing a commanding qualifying efficiency in Melbourne. George Russell secured pole place whereas Ferrari discovered themselves 1.030% behind the benchmark—a sizeable deficit that mirrored the SF26’s lack of outright one-lap tempo in comparison with Mercedes‘ new-generation bundle.

At that stage, Ferrari had been clearly not real contenders for pole place.

China: Quick Progress

Just one race later, Ferrari made a transparent enhancements. In Shanghai, the qualifying deficit shrank dramatically to 0.381%, slicing the Australian hole by virtually two thirds.

Though Mercedes remained comfortably quickest, Ferrari demonstrated that the opening weekend had not been totally consultant of their true tempo.

Japan: vitality deployment uncovered

Suzuka introduced considered one of Ferrari’s most tough weekends. The Scuderia’s qualifying deficit elevated to 0.591%, because the circuit highlighted one of many workforce’s major weaknesses below the brand new 2026 laws—vitality deployment.

With Suzuka inserting heavy calls for on electrical vitality administration via its lengthy high-speed sections, Ferrari struggled to extract most efficiency all through the lap, permitting Mercedes to tug additional forward as soon as once more.

Miami, Canada and Monaco: establishing a baseline

Following Japan, Ferrari entered a much more constant part. The deficits throughout three very completely different circuits had been remarkably related: 0.393% in Miami, 0.400% in Montreal, and 0.316% in Monaco.

These figures recommended Ferrari had established a comparatively steady qualifying efficiency stage. Though nonetheless a number of tenths away from pole place, the SF26 had turn into a daily front-running contender, significantly on circuits the place outright vitality deployment was barely much less crucial.

Barcelona: Ferrari’s Breakthrough

The Spanish Grand Prix produced Ferrari’s strongest qualifying efficiency of the season. Lewis Hamilton got here agonisingly near securing pole place, finally lacking out by simply 0.086% to former Mercedes teammate George Russell.

It was by far Ferrari’s smallest deficit of the 12 months and demonstrated that, below the suitable circumstances, the SF26 possessed real pole-winning tempo. For the primary time in 2026, Ferrari appeared able to matching Mercedes over a single lap.


Austria: A step again

Regardless of introducing the workforce’s first ADUO energy unit improve, Ferrari’s qualifying deficit elevated as soon as extra. In Spielberg, the Scuderia completed 0.357% away from pole place.

Whereas nonetheless considerably higher than the opening rounds, Austria as soon as once more hinted that Ferrari continued to battle with vitality deployment on circuits demanding sustained electrical efficiency, limiting the complete potential of the improve bundle.

Furthermore, Ferrari struggled for an optimum steadiness on the Pink Bull Ring which meant that they might not totally exploit their normal strengths via the medium-speed corners.

Silverstone: Momentum returns

Ferrari arrived at Silverstone in glorious type. Lewis Hamilton secured Dash Pole, whereas each Ferrari drivers appeared extremely aggressive all through the weekend.

In Grand Prix qualifying, Charles Leclerc emerged as Ferrari’s quickest driver, finally qualifying 0.199% behind championship chief Andrea Kimi Antonelli.

Though not fairly matching the distinctive Barcelona efficiency, Silverstone confirmed that Ferrari had turn into a real front-row contender.

Leclerc transformed that tempo into victory on Sunday, claiming Ferrari’s first British Grand Prix win because the introduction of the brand new laws.

The development

The general trajectory is encouraging. Excluding the tough opening race in Australia and the energy-sensitive Suzuka circuit, Ferrari have usually operated inside two to 4 tenths of a % from pole place.

Barcelona proved that the SF26 has the potential to battle for pole, whereas Silverstone bolstered that Ferrari’s one-lap tempo is now not far behind Mercedes.

Nevertheless, the fluctuations at Suzuka and Austria counsel one limitation stays unresolved. Tracks that place significantly excessive calls for on electrical vitality deployment proceed to show weaknesses in Ferrari’s energy unit administration, stopping the Scuderia from persistently extracting most qualifying efficiency.

F1earlier



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