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Are the Celtics just chucking threes or missing open shots?

November 4, 2025
in Basketball
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The Boston Celtics dropped to three–5 final night time after a troublesome 105–103 house loss to the Utah Jazz. It was one of many uglier performances in latest reminiscence, although Jaylen Brown’s 36-point effort almost salvaged the night time. Even in a win, that type of efficiency would’ve sparked some robust questions, however after Jusuf Nurkic’s putback with simply 0.6 seconds remaining, these questions are solely getting louder.

Rebounding, second-half protection, and the general incapacity to include Keyonte George had been all key components within the Celtics’ loss. However what left most followers befuddled was the group’s dismal capturing efficiency, going simply 11-for-51 from past the arc. For years, critics from main media retailers to diehard Celtics followers have claimed that each one this group does is stay and die by the three. Many have referred to as on head coach Joe Mazzulla to rethink his offensive philosophy and prioritize smarter shot choice, and after final night time’s efficiency, these voices solely received louder.

Whether or not you fall into that group or not, it’s onerous to disregard how regarding it’s to see the Celtics shoot simply 22% from three. Within the breakdown under, I’ll take a more in-depth have a look at these makes an attempt, attempting to establish which photographs had been vast open, open, or contested.

Heading into final night time’s recreation, right here’s the place Boston ranked in capturing in accordance with NBA.com together with their standings in made threes, makes an attempt, and total share on these appears.

“Vast open” = 6+ toes of area, “Open” = 4-6 toes of area, “Tight” = 2-4 toes of area, and “Very Tight” = 0-2 toes of area.

56 (eighth)/151(seventh) on vast open threes. 37.1% on these ranks nineteenth

41(third)/138 (2nd) on open threes. 29.7% on these ranks twenty fourth

10 (fifth)/40 (2nd) on tight threes. 25% on these ranks fifteenth

And for what it’s price, Boston is 1 of two on very tight threes.

On this recreation, in accordance with NBA.com 50 of the group’s 51 threes had been thought of open or vast open.

Whereas my phrase will not be the tip all be all and I’m no NBA.com in relation to monitoring information, this was not true in my eyes. Listed below are 5 appears I don’t imagine may be thought of open or vast open.

A few these are late within the clock, however the level is I can’t see how solely certainly one of our threes was thought of not open.

Moreover, I made a decision to take a shot at monitoring the makes an attempt myself. It’s price noting that figuring out whether or not a shot is open or contested is extremely subjective. What one individual sees as open, one other may view as not. Even I discovered myself second-guessing a couple of of those classifications. This course of was difficult, so credit score to the individuals who do that work professionally for the NBA.

Under are all of the photographs I put within the vast open class.

As you possibly can see, these had been attractiveness, but the Celtics went 4/16 on these makes an attempt. It’s vital to notice, although, that simply because a shot is assessed as open or vast open doesn’t routinely make it a superb shot. Elements like distance, the shooter’s id, and the shot clock scenario all play a job. One other key commentary: 10 of those 16 appears had been within the first quarter. Categorizing these turned quite a bit tougher as the sport went on as a result of the Celtics stopped shifting the ball like they did within the first, which resulted in decrease high quality appears.

Under is certainly one of my favourite possessions of the sport, and I’m glad they received one other likelihood at a superb look as a result of they deserved it.

If the Celtics can maintain the ball and participant motion, they showcased within the first quarter for longer stretches all through video games, they need to be simply tremendous.

Now on to those I believed had been simply open. I really feel like that is the part that may get essentially the most dialog however right here it’s.

The Celtics went simply 6/19 on these appears. As soon as once more, I factored in who the shooter and defender had been in every scenario. For example, there are a number of possessions the place Keyonte George is matched up towards Sam Hauser and given the dimensions distinction, even when George is in shut proximity, his contest probably has little influence on Hauser’s shot.

Lastly, listed below are the appears I believed had been contested.

Total, by my monitoring, 35 of the Celtics’ 51 three-point makes an attempt had been both open or vast open. Nonetheless a strong ratio, particularly contemplating that among the contested appears had been pressured late within the shot clock. The early season capturing struggles may be attributed to 2 of the group’s greatest shooters, Payton Pritchard and Derrick White, placing up uncharacteristically low numbers. Given their observe data, and if the Celtics can keep the extent of ball motion they displayed in that first quarter, it’s honest to count on water to search out its stage.



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Tags: CelticschuckingmissingOpenshotsthrees
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