2:01
: Hey everybody, welcome to my final chat of the 12 months
2:02
: 2024 was an superior 12 months of baseball, and I’m going to recollect it fairly fondly, so in case you have any 12 months in assessment sort questions, ship them my approach
2:03
: within the meantime, let’s reply some common questions
2:03
: ought to I recover from it and commerce Coby mayo for an SP like Stop or Castillo? Or hoard prospects and hope they work out and signal a lesser SP like Flaherty?
2:03
: What are we doing?! Can we not commerce extra from our huge league roster (Mountcastle, Heston, Ramon urias) and/or prospects for pitching? Is anybody moreover Jackson and basallo off limits? Who ought to we goal?
2:03
: Ah sure, “Right here’s Ramon Urias, give me the very best pitcher you’ll be able to for him”
2:03
: sadly, that wouldn’t get too far
2:03
: I believe that the O’s are in an fascinating spot. The actual factor I need them to do is signal some gamers to extensions
2:04
: I appreciated their commerce for Burnes, for instance, and I wouldn’t hate seeing them replicate that, however one factor I really feel very positive about is that they shouldn’t do half measures
2:04
: Half of Adley’s workforce management is gone. 1/3 of Gunnar’s. You’ve got a uncommon alternative. The current issues
2:04
: If Shohei pitches most of a full season at an aceish degree, may he win Comeback Participant of the Yr the season after profitable back-to-back unanimous MVPs? Appears very on-brand.
2:05
: I do know all of it will depend on value, but it surely feels just like the Crimson Sox ought to double down and get Burnes, no? Saved cash by buying and selling for Crochet, a number of elite place participant prospects on the cusp of the MLB. Burnes-Crochet 1-2 feels prefer it will get you fairly dang far in each the common and postseason.
2:05
: I believe that they’re in want of extra gamers
2:05
: pitcher? Bregman? Teo? I don’t have an excellent sturdy tackle which possibility they need to take
2:05
: however this isn’t a terrific workforce as it’s
2:05
: Will the Yanks remorse not topping the Cubs provide for Tucker? Reportedly they balked at Gil and Lombardi.
2:06
: If that reporting is true, I believe that was a giant error on their half
2:06
: they even have nice proof of how nicely a commerce for a FA-to-be celebrity can work out
2:06
: Why is the SP market a lot hotter this 12 months than final, when Snell and Montgomery signed so late? Are groups prioritizing clear Recreation 1/2 playoff starters, no matter value or age? Whereas the pen market has been gradual to develop. An fascinating shift from the current mantra to not overpay pitchers…
2:07
: Yeah, I’m shocked. I suppose we’ll have to attend for another high hitters to signal to see whether or not it’s the entire market being scorching or simply the pitchers who’ve signed to this point
2:07
: In a vacuum, ought to the Mets (a) resign Pete, (b) signal Bregman and shift Vientos, or (c) deal with the void by way of commerce (e.g., Arenado)?
2:08
: I believe I like B most of those choices
2:08
: but it surely relies upon what the marketplace for Arenado seems like
2:09
: Hey Ben, simply wished to let you understand that you simply seem within the background proper across the 2:30 mark of the video clip on the high of this text.
2:09
: Hey Davy! Spectacular spot
2:09
: I questioned what sort of angle these cameras have been capturing, I suppose now I do know
2:10
: I really feel like they have been completely positioned to cdatch everything of the group milling round
2:10
: Solely two defensive shift violations have been referred to as final season (each after supervisor challenges and each within the span of ~every week)–does that appear low?
2:10
: not likely… you’ll be able to simply take a look at the place you’re standing, which appears to make it lots more durable to unintentionally run afoul of
2:10
: Does anybody know the principles by which workforce names reference a metropolis or state? Might the As theoretically quickly rebrand because the Sacramento As?
2:10
: I imagine they may have, becuase they selected to only be referred to as the athletics as a substitute of including at eam title
2:10
: a metropolis title, quite
2:11
: I really like the Stroll-Off function you all added, although I’m just a little unhappy I got here one share level in need of platinum standing. Have you learnt what number of days have been lined by it? I do know it’s in need of a full 12 months, and I simply wished to know what number of days I didn’t go to Fangraphs?
2:11
: I believe we lower it off two Saturdays in the past
2:11
: Hey, Ben. Brent Rooker good for 50 HR’s in Sacramento? Blissful holidays.
2:11
: that could be a LOT of dwelling runs
2:12
: greater than Statcast thinks he would have hit if he performed the entire season in Cincy final 12 months
2:12
: so I’m gonna say no. I don’t assume the park goes to be the very best hitter’s park in baseball or something. Only a lot friendlier than the Coliseum
2:13
: Kyle Tucker: set-your-watch-by-him 5 conflict all star, or going-forward 8 conflict superstud?
2:13
: for me, the primary
2:13
: reveal the second earlier than I’m keen to imagine it, you understand?
2:14
: Finest christmas music?
2:14
: I’ve just a few contenders, I’ll give my spouse credit score for these as a result of I wasn’t a giant Christmas music individual as a child
2:15
: Christmas Wrapping by the Waitresses, Merry Christmas by Elton John and Ed Sheeran, Fairytale of New York by the Pogues, and your complete Sia Christmas album are my go tos
2:15
: Crimson Sox don’t have a shortstop. Dbacks have two. Dbacks additionally want a primary baseman. Who says no to a Geraldo Perdomo for Tristian Casas commerce?
2:15
: by like, lots
2:16
: I believe Casas is simply higher along with having an additional 12 months of management
2:16
: Publish Kyle Tucker commerce: The Cubs outfield is LOADED. Do you assume Bellinger/Suzuki are more than likely to be moved?
2:17
: Sure I do. Final week, Seiya’s agent talked about that he was not all for being a full-time DH, and that he’d particularly appeared to keep away from that when he signed his free company contract
2:17
: I believe that places them in an enormous bind, tbh
2:18
: there’s simply nowhere for him to play. I believe that they’re going to finish up buying and selling him, most likely for not that a lot as a result of it’s a clumsy marketplace for nook OF bats with some good free brokers accessible for contending groups nonetheless
2:18
: I’d make a transfer to get Kyle Tucker each time nonetheless, however they positively have to make some extra strikes given present roster development
2:19
: as an angels fan ive been dreading a nolan areando commerce. is there a commerce you assume might be win-win? cuz i solely see catastrophe brewing
2:19
: no. Arenado to the Angels solely is smart as a result of he’s from there
2:20
: I really like that he talked about how a lot he wished to win, then gave a listing of groups that had a bunch of groups that eclipsed .500 and have legit WS aspirations
2:20
: after which the Angels
2:20
: like, you’ll be able to simply say you want the place you’re from, that’s okay too
2:20
: Everyone knows the Pirates aren’t gonna provide sufficient {dollars} for teoscar/santander, the primary cleanup type nook OFs in FA. Aav most likely 20-30. Assuming they may afford a AAV nearer to 10-20, who’re some commerce targets who make sense?
2:20
: what about Seiya???
2:20
: What are your ideas on the Horwitz deal from the pirates POV? Stable sufficient leadoff hitter at 1b for just a few years?
2:21
: that is the form of commerce you make when you understand you’re not going to spend any actual cash in FA, for my part
2:21
: he’s a superbly cheap blah bat, if he finally ends up as a rotational participant that’s high-quality
2:21
: in the event you’re relying on him as one in all your greatest hitters, you probably did one thing unsuitable
2:21
: Even with Soto, the Mets nonetheless want pitching. They’ve acquired Senga and a bunch of query marks. Is that this workforce actually a contender with out additional additions?
2:21
: I imply…. why would we count on no additional additions
2:22
: It’s December 16 and 17 of the highest 50 free brokers have signed
2:22
: ‘is that this workforce actually a contender’ yeah the workforce that simply made the NLCS, signed Juan Soto, and nonetheless has a payroll practically 100 million decrease than final 12 months’s is a contender
2:23
: WRT your O’s Adley window response…aren’t the Pirates in an analogous spot with Skenes’ window only a few years earlier? Couldn’t the 2 groups match up properly on say a (one in all) Jared Jones/Mitch Keller for Coby Mayo type of deal together with different items to make it work?
2:23
: I don’t actually perceive why the Pirates would do that
2:23
: I imply, except the O’s simply bowled them over with worth. However the O’s don’t do this. they particularly attempt to win each commerce
2:23
: Within the case of Bellinger, can money be conditionally added to the deal based mostly on choose in years?
2:24
: It might. The Arenado-to-the-Playing cards deal had the Rockies kicking in a unique amount of money based mostly on whether or not he exercised his choose out. Equally, the Mets had some conditional money on Verlander’s commerce to the Astros
2:24
: What was probably the most impactful commerce of 2024?
2:24
: The preseason Soto commerce
2:24
: not solely did it spearhead the Yankees, but it surely gave the Padres a head begin on rebuilding their rotation, and the 2 mixed had big impacts in each leagues
2:25
: What was probably the most shocking second of 2024 for you? Most shocking storyline?
2:25
: Shohei going 50/50 shocked me. I didn’t even contemplate him a contender for it
2:25
: I believe that probably the most shocking storyline for me was Skenes turning into the very best pitcher in baseball (ish)
2:25
: I used to be too low on him heading into the 12 months
2:25
: The information that the Astros are in on the Arenado sweepstakes (if that’s what we’re calling them I suppose) was not shocking, however the timing appeared off with the shifting Tucker immediately earlier than it got here out. Any concepts on a possible return for him could be when the Cardinals transfer him?
2:26
: Yeah…. truthfully I may completely see this, the Astros appear to be going full thrift mode out of nowhere
2:26
: and perhaps they will get the Cardinals to eat a bunch of cash, kick in some prospects, and do this
2:26
: one factor I’m interested by is whether or not they assume Paredes can play third
2:27
: I believe he can, and if he’s na common defender on the market, I don’t fairly perceive the impetus to maneuver a bunch of items to get Arenado
2:27
: but when they assume he’s higher fitted to first base, then I prefer it extra
2:27
: Did you get a ok (literal) take a look at Andres Chaparro in his cup of espresso final season to audibly giggle on the “If Chaparro can play third base” qualifier in right this moment’s ZIPS Nationals write up?
2:27
: I watched quite a lot of Nats video games within the second half of the 12 months
2:28
: What do you suppose is the first cause for the Playing cards to maneuver Arenado this offseason? Wage aid? Honor his want for a profitable workforce? There’s an opportunity Arenado is value extra subsequent offseason, as his common wage is decrease and perhaps (?) his offense improves in 2025.
2:28
: Yeah, wage aid and since he requested to be traded
2:28
: The mariners appear to have put it on the market that they might commerce Luis Castillo for actual affect, possible at 3B or 2B. Do you assume that commerce really exists? It’s exhausting to check prying guys like Westburg or Mayo (who may not even be 3B) from Os or Vientos from the Mets
2:28
: Nah, I don’t see it taking place
2:28
: The Mariners may at all times fully change their methods, but it surely’s clear that they worth pitching EXTREMELY extremely
2:29
: so positive, they might commerce Castillo for actual affect
2:29
: however they may assume actual affect is like, Brice Turang + Joey Ortiz
2:29
: Which workforce has the very best bandwagoners to haters ratio going into 2025?
2:29
: the Padres, perhaps?
2:29
: it’s a superb query
2:30
: I’d prefer to push again on the Suzuki factor… I believe he’s the 2nd greatest hitter on the workforce and may actually cut up time with Tucker in proper discipline. As a cubs fan I might take lots in return like stable third baseman or a high 2 starter on the rotation
2:30
: okay, what if he tells you “I don’t need to play DH, I’m requesting a commerce if I’m not going to be an outfielder”
2:30
: I believe Seiya is nice, I’m persistently making dumb predictions about how good he’ll be
2:30
: however I don’t know, they’re like a fantasy workforce that unintentionally ended up with 5 first basemen
2:30
: you’ll be able to’t simply go eh, it’ll work
2:31
: I’d favor to have all the nice gamers on my workforce. however I dunno, are you gonna ask Tucker to DH? Bench Ian Happ?
2:31
: Is it troublesome to maneuver a participant like vientos from third to first?
2:31
: I don’t imagine so, no
2:31
: there aren’t quite a lot of examples of fellows NOT with the ability to adapt to first
2:31
: Why the curiosity in Jesus Luzardo? He’s always injured.
2:32
: so, I’m with you
2:32
: I simply don’t see it. However lots of people do
2:32
: he has electrical stuff and he’s had some good outcomes when he can keep wholesome, which is certainly occasionally
2:32
: Do you assume Bergman is starting to say no? I’m not bought on him for the Mets in the event that they go that approach?
2:32
: Promote me on the Yankees needing to crawl to Bregman and pay celebrity cash for a man who isn’t producing like a celebrity
2:32
: alright, I suppose the pitch is that this
2:33
: Bregman’s final three years: 5.4 WAR, 4.5 WAR, 4.1 WAR
2:33
: Yankees who’ve hit 4.1 WAR in any of the final three years:
2:33
: Aaron Decide (3x), Juan Soto
2:34
: It is not sensible to maintain Helsley, sure?
2:34
: Not NO sense, however let me put it this fashion: I’d settle for 90 cents on the greenback to commerce him
2:35
: it’s not out of the query that they’d get a greater return by ready for the deadline, and that’s fascinating to me
2:35
: however they appear critical sufficient about retooling that conserving a more in-depth, and a dominant one, doesn’t actually monitor with what I’d be attempting to do
2:35
: An actual query – Are you an even bigger believer in Herz, Parker, Irvin, or not one of the above being a member of the subsequent contending Nats rotation? 2026… please? I lean Herz b/c of the bat lacking, although it is available in a bizarre approach (I believe he throws one fastball at… 5 completely different velocities?)
2:36
: I believe it’s Herz? It’s him or Parker for me
2:36
: I believe the Rays can have big quantity of rain delays this 12 months which is able to put an additional pressure on all their pitchers (and certain make them underperform. Do you agree?
2:36
: I don’t know the way precisely they’re gonna deal with it, however they handle to play FSL video games with out blowing individuals’s arms out
2:36
: I believe they’ll most likely have the ability to determine it out, although I do agree that on the margin it received’t be splendid
2:37
: Do you assume Milwaukee may have gotten a greater bundle for Williams? A deal together with a high 100 prospect and different items?
2:37
: I believe that the deal they acquired is RIGHT according to what they want
2:37
: they struggled mightily within the rotation final 12 months and so they simply can not afford to signal individuals given their funds constraints
2:37
: they’re attempting to win yearly
2:37
: they appear to have a window proper now, too: the Cardinals are taking a step again and the opposite groups haven’t fairly gotten issues collectively but
2:38
: “oh this man is a high 100 prospect” might be not as interesting to them as a complementary and fairly good prospect (Durbin) plus a rotation starter for this 12 months
2:38
: I like the way in which you characterised the Devin Williams commerce, with the Brewers rotating the wheel of efficient pitchers. However sooner or later, in the event you simply hold staying on the identical degree, you’ll at all times get the identical outcomes. Sooner or later, don’t they need to go all-in (or at the very least be additive, quite than attempting to keep up establishment)?
2:39
: Philosophical query, actually
2:39
: Would you quite get a ton of so-so bites on the apple, or go extra boom-bust?
2:39
: I keep in mind pondering, when the Stearns period began, that his plan of not likely bottoming out and attempting to compete immediately was novel and enjoyable
2:39
: I believe this is perhaps a grass is at all times greener state of affairs right here. I’m a giant fan of taking photographs when you’ll be able to, and I fully agree that the Brewers refuse to do this
2:40
: however I positively perceive their perspective
2:40
: they actually need to be aggressive and convey the followers out yearly
2:40
: Thanks for all of the enjoyable in chat and on the web site this 12 months. 5 issues was my favourite learn each week. Z Lowe could be proud
2:40
: Thanks very a lot
2:41
: 5 issues may be very exhausting to put in writing, simply because the thought technology a part of it takes a really very long time and the giffing isn’t automated, but it surely’s additionally my favourite factor to put in writing, so it really works out
2:41
: What are you wanting ahead to most, personally, in 2025?
2:42
: I’m gonna restrict this to baseball
2:43
: as a result of if not, it’s my journey to Scandinavia that I’m planning
2:43
: however: I’m excited to see what Ohtani does again on the mound
2:43
: and I’m very excited to see a Chapman/Adames infield in individual ceaselessly
2:43
: Any predictions for DeGrom this 12 months? I hold seeing stuff like he’s nonetheless a high 7 or 8 pitcher in baseball.
2:44
: I believe he’ll nonetheless be the very best pitcher in baseball on a price foundation
2:44
: I actually don’t know easy methods to handicap his well being
2:44
: I’m going to be very excited to observe, although
2:44
: I used to be anxious that might be your reply, that Bregman’s “down years” are nonetheless higher than anyone on the workforce not named Decide. I simply fear they’ll need to pay him like a celebrity and it’ll forestall them from going after Tucker in free company as a result of “Oops, we spent all our cash!” pretend austerity nonsense.
2:44
: yeah I imply, that’s all nicely and good, however they can not run the workforce again as is imo
2:44
: Decide is nice RIGHT NOW
2:44
: give him some assist
2:45
: Do you assume subsequent low season’s free agent market is perhaps cooler with the CBA being only one 12 months from accomplished, or is there no causation there?
2:45
: I believe it will depend on how the inner conversations are going, and likewise very importantly on how the television deal fallout is that time
2:45
: Tucker put up a 180RC+ final 12 months with good fielding and baserunning. His fluke shin damage apart, is he proper up there with Soto as the most effective gamers in the mean time?
2:45
: nicely a method of it’s simply projections. He has a 5.1 WAR projection over 672 PA. Soto is at 6.8 WAR in 686
2:46
: Tucker’s WAR projection is fifteenth in baseball, in order that’s positively star degree
2:46
: And in the event you aren’t as bullish on the varied defensive worth changes propping individuals up, you would dock Cal Raleigh, Michael Harris, and William Contreras out of that checklist and get him to twelfth
2:47
: however let’s put it this fashion: in an abbreviated season, Tucker put up the very best numbers of his profession, by 30+ factors of wRC+, and projection methods assume that most likely he’s not all of the sudden that good on a go-forward foundation
2:48
: in a full season, Soto put up the very best full season of his profession (not so good as 2020 on a price foundation), however by meaningfully much less
2:48
: and our projection methods assume he’ll be not too removed from the hitter he’s been most of his profession, although they appear to love his plate discipline-driven producdtion just a little extra on a go-forward foundation
2:49
: both approach, each are nice. However the truth that SOto has 4 seasons higher than Tucker’s greatest season, and is youthful, most likely signifies that Soto is best
2:49
: With a final place end, and one of many worst farm methods, ought to the Jays begin a hearth sale and attempt to get some worth for his or her high property?
2:50
: If Vlad isn’t all for an extension, then perhaps
2:50
: if he’s: you don’t get Vlads fairly often, perhaps pay him and hold attempting to win
2:50
: how can the cubs ‘be going all in’ per the post-Tucker commerce reporting and but nonetheless deal with the CBT like a wage cap? It’s like we’re rooting for the brewers besides, ya know, with out the division titles.
2:50
: No, the Brewers are approach higher at maximizing their roster
2:51
: however yeah, kinda wild imo
2:51
: Re: the what are they going to do, ask Tucker to DH/Happ to sit down sometimes, remark – I suppose Tucker being an upcoming FA is a wrinkle in what I’m about to say, however are we… overrating the human component there? Like, they’re handsomely paid… the Cubs ought to most likely have the ability to ask them EXACTLY that lol. I really feel like we additionally simply realized from the Reds that there’s no such factor as an excessive amount of depth/simply let this stuff work themselves out as a result of they possible will
2:51
: okay so, you would at all times strive that
2:51
: one wrinkle is the funds component
2:51
: and clearly the Reds weren’t in love with their experiment b/c they went forward and traded India as quickly as they didn’t have urgent damage points
2:52
: however the human component issues! additionally they’re attempting exhausting to re-sign Tucker and likewise presumably to seek out some contract extensions for younger and good gamers
2:52
: and so they’d inevitably stunt PCA’s progress by doing this
2:52
: one place the place the Reds differed is that it was fairly apparent who wanted probably the most taking part in time (Elly, McLain)
2:52
: and people man shappened to be the younger gamers
2:53
: I believe what I meant with the suzuki take was that Happ, PCA will hold their jobs with Bellinger being traded.
2:53
: so in the event that they commerce Bellinger, I suppose issues get just a little simpler
2:53
: however that’s nonetheless one in all Seiya, Happ, or Tucker DH’ing a ton
2:53
: Bellinger to the Yankees, perhaps?
2:54
: holy cow Cubbies. In the event that they land Luzardo, do you assume they personal the NLC? How would tank them in opposition to your complete NL if they’ve Luzardo?
2:54
: Possibly I’m only a dummy, however touchdown Luzardo wouldn’t transfer the needle a lot for me in any respect
2:55
: I’m not a giant MIchael Busch believer, and for no matter cause I can’t speak myself into Hoerner although I believe the info disagrees with me
2:55
: however I do assume they’re co-favorites within the NLC with the Brewers
2:56
: Pete Alonso doesn’t have a lot of a market does he simply return to the Mets on a Bellinger sort deal?
2:56
: Yeah, I believe that’s within the playing cards, though “doesn’t have a lot of a market” is fairly theoretical at this level
2:56
: Is Kerry Carpenter nearer to a future star or full time platoon participant?
2:56
: i believe he’s nearer to a future star
2:56
: I don’t assume he *IS* one, essentially
2:57
: however in the event you hit that nicely in opposition to righties, I’m gonna allow you to bat in opposition to lefties too
2:57
: Do you assume free agent market “greenback per WAR” calculations miss the purpose? I get how there’s a market common, however every workforce’s personal {dollars}/WAR tolerance would appear to rely upon their funds + skill to develop (low cost) expertise internally by means of the minors
2:59
: I really wrote about this just a few years in the past
2:59
: Giants in some way solely at $167M for subsequent 12 months. They gotta get Burnes and get again within the playoffs, no?
2:59
: I believe that they need to completely be attempting to make the playoffs
3:00
: I believe that signing Burnes makes quite a lot of sense, too
3:00
: and never simply selfishly b/c I need to watch him, although additionally that
3:00
: Ginny Searle had a reasonably good take at BP concerning the Seiya state of affairs. If Bellinger’s moved, between Tucker backing up CF on off days for PCA, Tucker and Happ DHing every so often, and inevitable accidents, Seiya can most likely get 600ish innings within the OF whilst a main DH. It simply will depend on what number of innings he must be completely happy.
3:00
: Ginny’s stuff is nice, and I suppose that is smart if they will commerce Bellinger
3:01
: in principle, Bellinger’s market might be not big
3:01
: on condition that he selected to remain on a participant possibility
3:01
: however perhaps they will pay some down (hahahahha Cubs followers, enjoyable joke about your workforce being cost-insensitive) or simply let him go for nothing?
3:01
: Additionally $/conflict appears completely different for hitters and pitchers. Having one quantity doesn’t mirror that imo.
3:02
: I’ve accomplished some checking of this prior to now, and the true divide is relievers vs. different
3:02
: beginning pitchers and hitters really are available fairly shut within the years I’ve checked
3:03
: On the subject of replicating the Burnes commerce, may the O’s get Stop or Valdez with a bundle like Kjerstad, Suarez and a draft decide or 45 FV prospect? Clearly Suarez isn’t as engaging as DL Corridor however he’s low cost rotation depth for a workforce giving up a starter and Kjerstad looks like the proper degree of headliner for a superb rental?
3:03
: I believe they may, that feels like an inexpensive return
3:03
: I believe the Padres would most likely do this in the event that they like Kjerstad
3:03
: Is Verdugo washed already? The place does he go from right here?
3:03
: yeah, washed imo
3:04
: Your ideas on Julio Rodriguez? He’s solely 23 yrs previous however doesn’t appear to be a stud OF. Nonetheless room for enchancment?
3:04
: I believe we’re seeing various things wanting on the identical man
3:04
: He seems like a stud OF to me
3:04
: Will EV90 ever be added to FG?
3:05
: it’s on our checklist of stuff, we de-prioritized it to focus extra on getting the varied stuff metrics onto the positioning in helpful methods however I’ll convey it up once more sooner or later b/c I actually prefer it as a stat
3:05
: If I’m making a visit to AZ for Spring Coaching, are there sure ballparks I ought to prioritize visiting?
3:05
: I’m not probably the most educated, Eric is best, however: I really like Salt River FIelds
3:05
: I noticed Acuna hit a homer in AFL there as soon as, it was superior
3:05
: noticed Nicky Lopez hit a homer too, it was a a lot much less spectacular homer
3:06
: Do you assume $/WAR equals out between Def WAR and Off WAR as a result of perhaps I’m unsuitable however I might positively pay extra for Off WAR then Def WAR
3:06
: Yeah, this I agree with
3:06
: I believe that the market, fairly moderately, feels offensive conflict is extra secure
3:06
: What’s your tackle Hayden Birdsong? Giants people appear to assume he’s acquired one other gear. Prospect hounds don’t appear so sanguine. What would you count on from the child over the subsequent couple years?
3:07
: I acquired some free tickets to a Giants recreation final 12 months by means of a good friend and who was sitting in entrance of us? Birdsong’s total household, all carrying Birdsong jerseys
3:07
: both that or only a ton of followers who all went REALLY out of their strategy to get a customized jersey of a rookie making his first begin
3:09
: I believe that I’d be keen to invest on him having one other gear, it’s removed from a given and I perceive why he wasn’t an enormous, can’t miss prospect however he feels to me like a kind of guys that might all of the sudden be significantly better if they may simply add just a little command
3:09
: it’s no on condition that it’ll occur, however I like a number of of his pitches and his aggression. I simply assume the ball doesn’t go the place he needs typically sufficient for all of it to work but
3:09
: Is it secure to imagine that the Cubs aren’t even half approach by means of their huge strikes?
3:09
: by way of variety of trades, perhaps
3:09
: by way of complete affect, Tucker goes to be greater than half of the overall strikes, so I’d say they’re greater than half by means of
3:10
: Over/underneath Angels playoff over the subsequent ten years: 0.5
3:10
: What do you consider the Woo rumors? The provide is seemingly Woo for Casas, Luis Guerrero, and Allan Castro
3:11
: I don’t have a terrific cause for this, however I’ve been just a little decrease than consensus on Woo
3:11
: I don’t have a robust view on Guerrero or Castro, both
3:11
: so I’d say I’m most likely the unsuitable individual to ask on this one… however I like Casas, and assume that he’s an inexpensive headliner for younger pitching if the throw-ins are fascinating to the workforce buying and selling a pitcher
3:12
: The Crimson Sox received 81 video games final 12 months and simply added a key a part of the equation. I see them as contenders if Anthony or Campbell flip into Jackson Merrill, and do you see them getting something out of Giolito?
3:12
: yeah, I believe they’re contenders for positive, partiuclarly after they add another hitter, which I believe they’ll do
3:14
: actually exhausting to know with Giolito
3:14
: it’s a must to assume zero-ish given the damage timeline, however with big error bars
3:14
: Learn a rumor that Padres have been procuring Bogaerts. I’m guessing he would approve a commerce again to Boston. Would a framework work round Bogaerts and stop for story, Casas and yoshida?
3:14
: I should be lacking one thing
3:14
: why would the Padres do htis?
3:16
: they’re buying and selling the very best participant within the deal (Stop) and never even saving a lot cash
3:16
: paying MORE cash within the quick time period
3:16
: Story is fairly clearly worse than Bogaerts for 2025
3:16
: Yoshida is at greatest a query mark
3:17
: this commerce would make the Padres lots worse within the quick time period, it’d create a clumsy positional logjam at first/DH, and it could contain buying and selling a pitcher they’re hoping will get them a superb prospect or pivot piece to in some way make shortstop worse?
3:18
: You’d count on a few jersey numbers to be retired in case your workforce makes 7 straight ALCS and wins two World Collection. After this newest run, anybody moreover Altuve and probably Yordan get theirs retired by the Astros?
3:18
: like positively him
3:19
: perhaps Verlander, he felt like a key a part of these runs
3:19
: I’ve been huge on Josh Naylor to the Giants, perhaps for a few mid degree SP prospects. Does this make sense to you?
3:19
: It doesn’t actually, for 2 causes. One, I’m simply not a Naylor believer. This may occasionally or is probably not rational
3:20
: two, I believe LaMonte Wade does quite a lot of what he does, and arguably higher
3:20
: however at worst, at an analogous degree
3:21
: I believe that the Giants could be higher served to deal with their rotation or maybe attempt to get one other star outfielder to pair with Ramos flanking JHL in heart
3:22
: and on condition that the farm isn’t wildly deep, buying and selling significant items for a 1b/DH feels prefer it’s a stretch
3:22
: How do you assume groups course of the not-trading-in-the-division typical knowledge? Tie-breaker? Demand extra worth? Simply don’t contemplate it? Would like to see Suzuki in Cincinnati.
3:22
: I believe it’s a tiebreaker, or near it
3:23
: I may see that commerce figuring out perhaps, it actually will depend on what the Cubs need to do. I believe that shifting Bellinger would occur first more than likely
3:23
: Few issues have shocked me greater than the worth of mediocre pitching this low season. I believed that the Giolito deal final winter couldn’t be topped however $67 million for Severino has challenged it and that is with starters getting used largely as not rather more than openers. It’s loopy.
3:23
: Severino most likely acquired an A’s enhance, however even together with him, I’m with you
3:23
: ought to/will the tigers make a transfer to consolidate expertise right into a 3-win participant? given the abundance of younger function gamers and lack of above-average regulars (esp within the infield), and likewise the cash to spend on a FA in the event that they vacate a beginning roster spot, this looks like a should in the event that they’re critical about competing
3:24
: they need to have gone nuts attempting to get Kyle Tucker, and doubtless they did
3:24
: ‘consolidate expertise right into a 3-win participant’ is an admirable aim
3:24
: perhaps it’s Bo Bichette?
3:25
: however in wanting by means of our projections, I’m attempting to assume which of those guys are on the block, and eh…. Bichette, perhaps Yandy Diaz who doesn’t actually really feel like a star, and nobody else who appears more likely to be on the commerce block
3:26
: so sure, I believe that they need to put money into having extra stars on their workforce, significantly by way of commerce
3:26
: I simply assume that could be a powerful needle to string
3:26
: on that notice: time to go decide up some lunch
3:26
: and hten again to digging by means of previous prospect lists for a enjoyable article I’m engaged on
3:26
: have a beautiful week, everybody, and a beautiful vacation season
Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He will be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.
