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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 3/13/26

März 13, 2026
in Baseball
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12:01

Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning from Tempe the place the temps are beginning to crank to twenty+ levels above what’s typical for March. I’m certain it’s high-quality, my dad says that is simply cyclical.

12:01

DR: Are the Yankees doing one thing particularly dangerous with their excessive greenback worldwide expertise?  I do know the fail charge is fairly excessive when contemplating a 14-17 12 months outdated inhabitants. But it surely appears (maybe as a result of NYY prospects get extra publicity usually) that they’ve had considerably worse outcomes amongst their excessive greenback guys.

12:03

Eric A Longenhagen: Agreeing to offers earlier and earlier opens you as much as extra danger of failure. It’s already a risky market because of the youth of the gamers on signing day, the error bar is greater while you’re reaching verbal agreements with 12- and 13-year-olds, to say nothing of the ethics of it.

12:03

Seth: In case you’re Steve Cohen, must you leverage your immense wealth to seek out benefits past the sector, like constructing {an electrical} substation close to Dodger Stadium?

12:06

Eric A Longenhagen: Have a strong scouting workers at the same time as groups just like the Cubs and Braves hemorrhage scouts. Begin cultivating and/or understanding expertise in locations which might be both largely unscouted (like Africa) or locations with a finite quantity of area, like Asia. Clearly, the Dodgers have already manufactured a income and expertise stream from Asia and have a head begin in Africa. Higher get going.

12:06

DR: Does Vance “Spring Coaching Babe Ruth” Honeycutt’s absurd ST output allay any fears that got here up throughout his dangerous 2025?  I do know Aberdeen is a horrible place to hit, however he was dangerous in all places. I don’t suppose anybody who noticed him in Aberdeen would’ve predicted this many HRs in 2026 as a complete, not to mention ST

12:07

Eric A Longenhagen: He struck out SO MUCH final 12 months, you’ve gotta let it air out over a bigger pattern and see what occurs.

12:07

Will: Have you ever discovered something eye opening out of your How’s my Driving?

12:07

Eric A Longenhagen: Do a greater job figuring out guys with 70-grade command or breaking pitches.

12:07

Sidd Finch: Are there any highschool juniors you’re notably enthusiastic about for the 2027 draft?

12:07

Eric A Longenhagen: Carter Hadnot

12:07

Baseball learner: Sounds just like the Yankees system is gentle on function? Just like the technique is “commerce the fellows who in all probability received’t make it slash those we don’t want for large league gamers we’d want now”? Do you suppose you that they’re working out of what to deal for on

12:09

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel there’s an elevated sense of urgency for Cashman to maintain his job, and in addition some “we don’t actually suppose this man goes to hit, let’s commerce him whereas he has worth” to it.

12:09

Kelly Clarkson: Any popup prospects piqued your curiosity this spring?

12:10

Eric A Longenhagen: Rockies A-ball children not named Ethan Holliday appeared good this week.

12:10

Eric A Longenhagen: Brito, Arguelles, Andujar

12:10

Erick: if the A’s are frisky, what do you see because the ETA for de vries?

12:10

Eric A Longenhagen: Might be this 12 months if he retains trying like this

12:10

Spring Breakout Video games: What gamers are on the high of your watch record?

12:11

Eric A Longenhagen: Anybody who was a Decide to Click on

12:11

Dylan: Has your view on any prospects been considerably modified by spring coaching? Do you are taking spring coaching in any respect severely when taking a look at these guys?

12:12

Eric A Longenhagen: Not from a field rating efficiency standpoint. Bodily development throughout the offseason, added velo, new pitches… that stuff I care about.

12:12

szakyl: What’s an inexpensive expectation for DeLauter’s common PA per season?

12:12

Eric A Longenhagen: 450

12:12

Dorian Soto: When do you get eyes on him?

12:13

Eric A Longenhagen: I am going to Pennsylvania April 2-10 after which Ft Myers April 10-??, I must get my palms on Prolonged ST schedules for Florida.

12:13

Erick: I do know he’s a graduated prospect, however will warren’s stuff+ seems to be up considerably this spring. is that this a blip or has he made optimistic adjustments?

12:15

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel he seems nice however you’re speaking to the man who has traditionally been excessive on Warren.

12:15

ZH: Why is MVP Baseball 2005 nonetheless the best sport ever made?

12:15

Eric A Longenhagen: I imply, Breath of the Wild is fairly rad.

12:16

doughboy: after the smoke has cleared after the 2025 season, how will we make sense of Jackson Jobe‘s FV? His stuff+ on all pitches had been league common to plus; however he wasn’t lacking as many bats as you’d hope. There was some discuss his restricted arm extension and fastball being too true. What do you anticipate from him in 2027?

12:16

Eric A Longenhagen: I assume we’ll see, however I feel all of the tinkering that was occurring over the past couple of years was perhaps an indication the Tigers didn’t suppose issues would work as constituted.

12:17

Oaktown Blues: If a prospect who beforehand was within the DSL will get some Spring Coaching ABs in AZ, is {that a} good indicator that the workforce plans to convey them stateside to start out the 12 months?

12:17

Eric A Longenhagen: If a man is up right here he’s virtually definitely going to stay up right here.

12:17

Eric A Longenhagen: Rayner Arias is the one one I can recall who went again for a bit.

12:18

Kate: Did one thing change with Tornes’ profile that moved him from a forty five+ to a straight 45?  Or was this simply type of re-calibrating the best way to worth these sorts of far off guys with quite a lot of inquiries to reply?

12:18

Eric A Longenhagen: 71% contact charge within the DSL is a bit of bit scary, seemingly nook man. Nonetheless seems like a primary spherical HS bat however in all probability extra towards the again half than inside the highest 10, which is extra what a forty five+ is.

12:20

Kate: Is there something we are able to search for in smaller guys with meh pop popping out of the draft to guess at who will really develop significant impression?  Interested by a man like McGonigle.  I are inclined to miss on this profile of smaller, good hit software guys who find yourself growing pop nobody noticed coming.  Like taking a look at a man like Gavin Kilen and questioning if one thing like that is likely to be in there?

12:20

Eric A Longenhagen: Hip/hand separation, perhaps an uptick in measured bat velocity if we’ve got entry to the newbie quantity from showcase/school event stuff.

12:21

Wooden: Do you might have any up to date notes on two Nats prospects Luke Dickerson and Marconi German?

12:22

Eric A Longenhagen: Nats are on deck for mid-April replace, I’ll see three of their associates in PA and perhaps their Prolonged group if Miami brings sufficient arms up from the D.R. for me to drive throughout the state for a couple of days.

12:22

Eric A Longenhagen: So for now I’m high-quality sticking to what I wrote final record cycle.

12:24

Erick: BG mentioned this in his chat, so determine i’ll get your view on it too: Painter’s fastball form seems to not have returned but even after phillies mentioned he spent the offseason working to get again to his pre-injury arm slot. In case you knew – with certainty – that painter’s pre damage fastball form and velo usually are not returning would he nonetheless be 55? a 50?

12:24

Eric A Longenhagen: Form AND velo? 50

12:25

Baseball learner: Odds Lagrange is the Yankees setup man come September?

12:27

Eric A Longenhagen: That’s a bit of too particular. Odds he’s a significant a part of their bullpen? 25%? He’s a postseason 40-man add so if he’s one in every of their greatest 12 arms finish of 12 months he ought to be up (except they’re not contending)

12:27

Oaktown Blues: I feel I keep in mind you saying a bit again that the A’s prospect record was ticketed for late Spring, after you bought seems at a number of the guys – is that also heading in the right direction?

12:28

Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, they’ve been my focus this week. Astros publish subsequent, I do know Meg and gonna be swamped with modifying preseason content material and record publication will take a again seat whereas that stuff rolls out however I’m formally engaged on A’s, Cubs, Rockies (BG and I each), SFG (ditto).

12:28

Bernie: Eric!  I’m in a deep dynasty league and your work has all the time been extremely useful — thanks!  Are there any current draft picks/IFAs attracting buzz on the backfields past the marquee guys (in my draft, high 2 rounds of MLB draft and high 10ish DSL guys already gone)?

12:30

Eric A Longenhagen: Nicely the Rangers two-way child from Korea pitches and leads off at present so perhaps we’ll get some dope there. We’ve solely had two or three days of minor league video games thus far…

12:30

Kate: What do you make of the brand new Zac Veen?

12:30

Eric A Longenhagen: Don’t suppose it made a distinction in how shortly his palms get going.

12:32

Surplus Valuez = Stolen Wages: Does Vahn Lackey find yourself a primary rounder?

12:32

Eric A Longenhagen: Severe query, as a result of I’m curious: Are you Allan Eric Carlson?

12:32

Eric A Longenhagen: (and sure, I really like Lackey and suppose he goes inside the highest 10)

12:33

Eric A Longenhagen: As a result of your IP handle certain places it in play, could be a blast from the Crashburn Alley previous so that you can be in right here.

12:34

ZH: Random 40+ or beneath hitter or pitcher that makes the leap to a 55 by finish of the season? Generally is a Decide to Click on however the ones you simply have probably the most intestine really feel for.

12:36

Eric A Longenhagen: Yairo Padilla. Bodily, switch-hitting MIF? Signal me up.

12:36

War2D2: Eriiiiic! Simply my weekly nag asking when the Cubs record shall be launched. Can we anticipate any pop-up expertise that was off the radar final time by way of? Thanks!

12:37

Eric A Longenhagen: They’ll in all probability transfer up the queue right here as a result of I’ve been informed they’re not taking part in any Prolonged Spring video games. Gotta get in what I can throughout minor lg ST.

12:37

jk: Who’re your favourite 2026 impression pitching prospects who haven’t debuted but?

12:39

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ll say Gage Soar, suppose the A’s are motivated to maneuver their pitching shortly.

12:40

Rickey: what do you see holding Luis Morales again (past the ballpark). Appeared to have loads of stuff developing, and did high-quality as soon as within the majors final 12 months. Many appear down on his possibilities of being a No 3-4, however what do you see as the constraints on him?

12:40

Eric A Longenhagen: I actually like him, he’s crude however I purchase that the stuff and athleticism will enable him to flourish over time. Simply not probably the most polished/poised man but.

12:41

Oaktown Blues: I do know that to be able to succeed with a <70% contact charge, you must hit the ball actually arduous. This Spring, Henry Bolte has a median EV of 96.5 and a 59% arduous hit charge. Is that sufficient oomph to make up for his 68% contact charge?

12:42

Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve seen video games and he’s appeared fairly good, is he on time sufficient to raise the ball a bit of extra? -1 diploma avg launch final 12 months…

12:42

Crabcakes: Did 2025 change your opinion on Nate George in any respect?  I feel you had been skeptical of his potential to hit, after which he hit one thing like .330 throughout a pair ranges final 12 months.  Did he fulfill your issues, or is gonna get uncovered towards higher pitching?

12:43

Eric A Longenhagen: I’m snug taking the underneath in comparison with what Chat appears to suppose. Excessive oppo spray, I fear how he’ll deal with precise MLB high quality fastballs.

12:43

Eric A Longenhagen: Toolsy child, although. Simply copying and pasting my Aidan Smith takes from final offseason.

12:43

War2D2: I’m going to be in Scottsdale for my yearly journey to spring coaching subsequent week. I’m going a pair weeks later than I often do due to household commitments. Was actually excited to see that as a substitute of the 80° climate I’m used to it’ll be 110°. Yessir, reeeeaaaally excited.

12:44

Eric A Longenhagen: Our common temps are 80 this time of the 12 months, really a terrifying signal of issues to return. MLB ought to begin making ready to battle with golf programs for water right here.

12:44

Sandwich: Which orgs do you suppose do the most effective job of spreading out their danger within the IFA market whereas nonetheless discovering upside?

12:44

Eric A Longenhagen: Milwaukee

12:46

Buff: A number of buzz about Roldy Brito. Have you ever seen or heard something about him that will transfer him up on the Board?

12:47

Eric A Longenhagen: He’s on our high 100. Skillful child, like him in CF and at 2B, grinds out powerful at-bats. Beeg thinks he has a Zobrist really feel to him, I dig that.

12:49

Opifijikl: You talked about final 12 months that you just thought the Pink Sox had been telling their guys to swing much less, or that they’d premeditated swings and misses. I consider a Laurila interview w/BOS participant improvement refuted that. The info appeared to match what you had been saying although, so do you might have any guesses about what’s taking place there?

12:49

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel it’s completely true for Anthony and Campbell

12:50

Steve O: Why’s Franklin Arias rated so extremely? He doesn’t appear like he’ll hit a lot and he doesn’t stroll. It’s arduous for me to motive that he’s the 14th greatest prospect when he doesn’t hit and he’s not quick. I’d suppose if any workforce rated him that extremely the Pink Sox ought to’ve commerce him yesterday.

12:50

Eric A Longenhagen: Plus shortstop defender with plus (perhaps higher) bat to ball ability.

12:50

Tony Graffinino: Favourite character or funniest prospect you might have scouted extensively?

12:52

Eric A Longenhagen: Jake Burger. Hilarious man. Lawrence Butler additionally looks as if a blast. I additionally discover the uncontainable elements of Abner Uribe’s on-field antics to be humorous however he’s not *making an attempt* to be humorous.

12:53

Matt: Is Misiorowski the dream for Carlos Lagrange? Lagrange appears to be in a really related place now to the place Miz was two years in the past. Looks as if you’re already marginally extra bullish about his potential to start out than you had been a month in the past?

12:55

Eric A Longenhagen: Deliveries and fastball angles are completely completely different so I’d say they aren’t nice comps past the velo. Lagrange’s changeup seems prefer it’s going to get to a greater place than Miz.

12:55

Eric A Longenhagen: Would agree that Lagrange’s mechanical consistency is best (or at the very least my evaluation of it’s certainly extra bullish)

12:56

flightsongs: Which prospect title have you ever chosen to have rattling round in your mind as like a fork in a rubbish disposal as you sooner or later shuffle off this mortal coil? Mine’s “Ibandel Isabel“.

12:58

Eric A Longenhagen: Franklin De La Paz

12:59

Eric A Longenhagen: Ibandel Isabel has a musicality to it that completely precipitated it to pop into my mind at random, too. It’s actually superb you’re on the identical wavelength.

12:59

Eric A Longenhagen: And in my head I’m saying the “b” kinda like a “v”

1:00

Surplus Valuez = Stolen Wages: Given all of the Epstein stuff, the dwell streamed holocaust of Palestinian youngsters, the state of youth right here occurring 3-4 generations…aside from being outdated and more and more senile within the suburbs, what makes it attainable for sports activities shoppers to disregard the economics anymore? IFA bonuses, draft bonuses, caps on each, wage caps/“luxurious tax”, choices, later debuts, service manipulation normalized, and so forth and so forth

1:03

Eric A Longenhagen: ^Because of this I used to be questioning in case you’re AEC as a result of despite the fact that your worldviews don’t appear to align you do put up a ton of stuff like this in chat. Like lots. It’s a great query, although. I feel quite a lot of us are made numb by how pleasurably distracting our leisure choices are, and it’s powerful to mobilize your self (not to mention sufficient individuals that will really facilitate change) after we’re sitting round watching sports activities, or marvel motion pictures, or actuality TV or no matter it’s. I’m as responsible as anybody.

1:03

Eric A Longenhagen: Yay!

1:04

Eric A Longenhagen: Couple extra, then I’ve gotta deal with some automobile stuff (lock housing busted on the GTI) earlier than I am going to the sector

1:04

Genghis Khan II: I simply can’t get down with the Dax Kilby hype given the SSS. He is likely to be A-Rod, however 18 video games with a .431 BABIP in A ball? 18 video games! This seems and smells like stereotypical Yankees prospect hype.

1:04

Eric A Longenhagen: I agree let’s not go loopy placing a 70 on his hit software or something for the explanations you mentioned, however I had that man stuffed pre-draft and thought he appeared fairly good taking part in SS in professional ball. That’s what moved the needle for me was the protection.

1:05

Jace, The Thoughts Sculptor: Have you ever ever executed a “how’s my driving” in your projected pitcher roles?

1:05

Eric A Longenhagen: No, I’d love to do this and analyze everybody’s efficiency on the workforce lists as a substitute of simply the 100s

1:05

Crabcakes: I’ve a frequent debate with my SO about professional athletes and psychological well being.  I say guys who wrestle underneath strain get weeded out lengthy earlier than they make the best stage as a result of there’s all the time strain in sports activities.  My SO factors out that we frequently see guys seem to choke.  Add some perspective for us please, do you see prospects both fail to advance or advance despite struggles with the strain to carry out?

1:09

Eric A Longenhagen: I feel it depends upon the individual. I agree that there’s all the time a component of strain and a number of the very fragile of us get weeded out at a sure stage. However I additionally suppose notion impacts how anybody handles a given second. Like when you’ve got worry of flying, it’s arguably irrational based mostly on the precise charge of lethal crashes in comparison with driving, however a lot of individuals nonetheless worry it and I’m not skeptical that they worry it regardless of its irrationality. I feel that may apply to sports activities.

1:09

Eric A Longenhagen: Like Jorge Lopez, I fear about that man. He made it right here however nonetheless appears to soften.

1:10

Eric A Longenhagen: Okay mates, time for me to go. Nice chat this week, let’s have one other subsequent Friday!

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