Javier Báez possible is aware of the reality: He hasn’t lived as much as the contract the Detroit Tigers gave him. That consciousness — paired together with his physique breaking down — could outline how this deal in the end ends.
When the Tigers signed Báez to a six-year, $140 million contract in 2021, they have been betting on his electrical play and swagger carrying a younger crew towards competition. As an alternative, three years in, the deal feels extra like a weight than a spark.
Báez’s numbers inform the story. His batting common has slipped every year, bottoming out at .184 in 2024 earlier than a hip damage ended his season. His .516 OPS final 12 months was the worst of his profession. Accidents, inconsistent self-discipline on the plate and declining defensive metrics have raised critical questions on his long-term worth.
To Báez’s credit score, he hasn’t ducked the grind. He returned this spring after hip surgical procedure with a targeted perspective, even agreeing to take reps at third base to assist the crew adapt. That type of shift — from franchise shortstop to potential utility nook infielder — feels much less like a tactic and extra like a concession: the participant, as soon as elite, is trying to find methods to contribute in a brand new profession part.
It is laborious to disregard that Báez appears to grasp the optics. By all accounts, he is engaged, working laborious and never pointing fingers. However there is not any hiding while you’re making almost $24 million a 12 months and enjoying like a below-replacement-level participant. He is on the incorrect facet of 30, and the Tigers have three years and $73 million left to pay. Báez is likely to be keen to do what’s requested — however effort does not equal manufacturing.
That is Detroit’s long-term dilemma. They’re caught paying for previous potential whereas hoping for future flashes. And so they’re doing it with a participant who possible is aware of he is not the man they thought they have been getting.
So what occurs subsequent?
The Tigers may journey it out and hope for a late-career bounce, although that is unlikely with out vital modifications to Báez’s method. They might attempt to dump the contract, however who’s biting on an enormous deal tied to a declining veteran? A launch, or monetary settlement, could be an admission of failure — however it may additionally be the one path ahead if his manufacturing does not recuperate.
In the end, Báez may end this contract extra as a mentor than a star. And if he does, it’s going to be as a result of he understands the state of affairs. The efficiency hasn’t matched the paycheck, and now it is about salvaging some worth — for himself and the franchise.
Nobody has to say it out loud. You possibly can see it on his face. Javier Báez is aware of.