The Waste Administration Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale is a scoring fest. Final yr’s winner shot 24 below par and separated by seven photographs, which tells you precisely what this place rewards.
You are on the lookout for gamers who can pile up birdies, deal with wedge-heavy method photographs and keep aggressive with out leaking errors on par 5s. This course favors sturdy iron play, consolation on quick greens and gamers who aren’t afraid to press when scoring situations are delicate.
As all the time, I deal with gamers who’ve the profile to contend outright, however wager conservatively preferring the highest 20/30 markets the place the scoring match is there and the value nonetheless stays.
Listed here are the gamers to contemplate for WMPO for betting and fantasy.
Greatest bets
Maverick McNealy: High 20 (+125)
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Full odds:
High 30 -135
High 10 +265
High 5 +1550
To win +3400
I am trusting the profile and never simply finishes. McNealy does most of his injury tee-to-green (thirteenth), particularly together with his irons (18th). Give your self sufficient seems to be inside 20 toes time and again and you have got a shot to contend. McNealy does that. Current outcomes again it up, posting sturdy finishes on programs that translate to Scottsdale, like Summerlin and Twin Cities, each second shot tracks the place iron play and GIR dictates rounds. The putter is streaky however that is high-quality for a high 20. When the ballstriking stays intact, plus-money is strong for a dependable profile with actual scoring upside.
Pierceson Coody: High 30 (+110)
Full odds:
High 20 +175
High 10 +385
High 5 +830
To win +5500
Hold the ball in play, hit a ton of greens, and keep away from large numbers. Coody checks these packing containers. He is quietly sturdy from tee to inexperienced (seventh), and excels with greens in regulation and bogey avoidance. That combo will help a participant keep clear whereas everybody else presses. Current high 20s at The American Specific and Farmers Insurance coverage Open exhibits that Coody can deal with harder ballstriking checks, each of which translate nicely to Scottsdale. He is additionally flashed upside in desert model occasions the place iron play and scrambling issues greater than placing spikes. The putter is common, which is why I am not shopping for the highest 20 however for a high 30, Coody has the consistency making him an inexpensive purchase.
Si Woo Kim: High 20 (-105)
Full odds:
High 10 +215
High 5 +450
To win +2700
Kim has the profile of a participant I like when the ballstriking is doing the heavy lifting and I am not asking for a miracle putter week. His latest type of 5 straight top-20 finishes is constant as a result of the stats line up — second within the discipline from tee-to-green, fourth on method, sturdy off the tee and strong bogey avoidance.
Scottsdale is a birdie monitor, however the large numbers can sneak in in the event you get sloppy. Kim’s ballstriking can keep away from that sloppiness. Course historical past is regular, ending high 25 right here a number of instances, together with T12 in 2024. The putter is all the time the concern, however a top-20 value is betting that Kim’s irons will give him sufficient probabilities to money.
Gamers to contemplate for Each day Fantasy
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Haotong Li, $7,500: Ballstriking upside with out paying for identify worth. His irons have been glorious recently, which may give any participant birdie photographs in bunches. His value is truthful for somebody who can spike a spherical or two and pile up birdies, making him a salary-saving choice.
Jacob Bridgeman, $7,100: He matches the floor-first profile, not volatility. He is regular from tee-to-green, retains the ball in play, and avoids blowups, which has helped produce back-to-back top-15 finishes. Bridgeman’s iron play has been strong sufficient to present him probabilities, gaining strokes in his final two rounds, and his scrambling retains rounds from unraveling. You are selecting him to make the lower, log 4 rounds and accumulate factors with out nuking your lineup.
DFS participant to fade
Xander Schauffele, $10,500: He has the second-highest wage however the latest profile would not justify paying up, having minimal aggressive reps and little or no latest rhythm. The ballstriking is not coming in sharp, he misplaced strokes off the tee at Torrey, was impartial at finest on method and there isn’t any separation in his scoring metrics to offset the wage hole. You’ll be paying for identify fairness, not type. In every week the place balanced builds and mid-range scorers can lap the sector, Schauffele’s path to paying off this tag is slim. I would quite reallocate that wage to gamers with stronger method developments and higher value-per-dollar upside.
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