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Melbourne • Australian Open Mens Tennis Draw Analyzed By Alix Ramsay

January 18, 2026
in Tennis
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Picture credit score: Rolex

By Alix Ramsay

That’s it; we are able to all go dwelling. The Australian Open champion has been topped. Step ahead Jordan Smith, the brand new king of Melbourne.

The 29-year-old novice from Sydney pocketed AUS$1million for his efforts which must be greater than sufficient to purchase a pleasant body to show the picture of him beating world No.2 Jannik Sinner on his technique to the ultimate. As soon as there he beat Joanna Garland from Taipei.

Honest sufficient, this was solely the One Level Slam, a brand new occasion so as to add a little bit of enjoyable and frolic to the week earlier than the Open. Open to allcomers, every match was just one level lengthy and the superstars had been allowed just one serve which was the undoing of Sinner – he dumped his into the web. Hit and giggle it might have been but it surely actually livened up the hours main into the draw.

That draw has not been sort to Sinner.

Supplied he can get his serve over the web in his opening spherical in opposition to Hugo Gaston (and the sensible cash suggests he’ll), he might face Joao Fonseca within the third spherical, Karen Khachanov within the fourth, Ben Shelton within the quarter-finals and Novak Djokovic within the semis. Which would go away him with solely Carlos Alcaraz to beat within the ultimate. He may be needing a 3rd Weetabix for his breakfast to get by that lot if he’s to defend his title.

Alcaraz, often the gang’s favourite, might be the villain of the piece at Melbourne Park. He begins in opposition to an Australian in Adam Walton, the world No.79 from Brisbane and is scheduled to satisfy Alex de Minaur within the quarter-finals. And everyone loves de Minaur. The world No.1 has overwhelmed Demon 5 occasions and dropped simply two units alongside the way in which.

That, although, presupposes that each males attain the final eight. Alcaraz’s expertise is past doubt however generally his temper will get in the way in which. If he’s completely happy, assured and pondering clearly, he’s untouchable to all however Sinner. But when his thoughts wanders, he’s beatable. That’s when he beats himself.

The likeable Demon opens his account in opposition to Matteo Berrettini – and that’s the kind of first spherical any man would dread. The Italian has been plagued with accidents since his run to the Wimbledon ultimate in 2021 and final yr missed each Roland Garros and the US Open. However when he was match – and that forehand of his was firing – he beat Demon in Miami. That stated, he took a clumping from the Aussie in Vienna seven months later.

Alexander Bulblik might be ready for Australia’s best within the fourth spherical, too. Bublik was the revelation of final yr. He gained three matches in a six-month spell from September 2024 to March of final yr and his rating slumped to No.82. However from shedding within the opening spherical of Indian Wells, he regrouped, refocused and compelled his manner as much as the world’s high 10 and claimed his place as an alternate on the ATP Tour Finals. He was as amazed as everybody who watched him. Opening this season with the Hong Kong title, he might trigger some harm within the coming couple of weeks.

Daniil Medvedev is one other man to maintain your eyes on. He arrived in Melbourne contemporary from successful the Brisbane silverware and believes he’s enjoying high 5 tennis once more. Again in 2022, he was the world No.1 and he had been a everlasting fixture within the high 5 for years. Or he was till final yr when he dropped all the way down to No.18 after the US Open. A mixture of accidents and disaffection with what he was doing and the way wore him down. However now he appears to be again in enterprise.

He might face Felix Auger-Aliassime within the fourth spherical and Sascha Zverev within the quarter-finals which would go away him with Alcaraz within the semi-finals.

And, lastly, be careful for Stan Wawrinka. The 40-year-old former champion is enjoying his ultimate season on tour however he doesn’t need this to be a sentimental, farewell tour of his favourite haunts; he desires to win. Stan doesn’t actually do sentiment when he has a racket in his hand. His goal is to finish his profession ranked contained in the world’s high 100 (he’s presently No.139) and his first step in direction of that objective is to beat Laslo Djere, the No.91 from Serbia.

He gained considered one of his 5 matches on the United Cup in Perth – be beat Arthur Rinderknech – however each considered one of them was as tight as a duck’s nether areas. Stan is right here to struggle and we’ll miss him when he’s gone.



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Tags: AlixAnalyzedAustralianDrawMelbournemensOpenRamsayTennis
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