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Stat shows how Pirates are slipping out of playoff contention

August 9, 2024
in Baseball
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Realistically talking the Pittsburgh Pirates playoff probabilities have most likely slipped away. Particularly after a 1-5 house stand towards the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres that concluded on Thursday afternoon with one other crushing 7-6 loss to the latter, concluding a three-game sweep. 

It isn’t simply that the Pirates have misplaced a bunch of video games to groups they’re chasing to fall to 4 video games out of a playoff spot with 4 groups standing between them. It’s the manner they maintain dropping video games in gut-punch vogue, seemingly discovering new methods to grab defeat from the jaws of victory daily.

The most important perpetrator continues to be a bullpen that retains blowing late leads. 

It occurred once more on Thursday when nearer David Bednar blew his second consecutive save within the high of the ninth inning, giving up three runs of their newest loss.  

For the Pirates, it’s the eighth consecutive loss during which a aid pitcher has taken the loss on the stat sheet.

You must go all the best way again to July 23 — a stretch of 13 video games — to search out the final time a Pirates beginning pitcher was really tagged with a loss. In that loss Paul Skenes allowed simply two runs whereas pitching into the ninth inning. 

Stunningly, the Pirates have gained simply 5 of these 13 video games on account of collapse after collapse from their bullpen.

Colin Holderman alone has taken 4 of these losses, whereas Bednar and Aroldis Chapman have all contributed blown saves.

However whenever you dig even deeper into the defeats it turns into much more irritating for the Pirates and their followers. Let’s simply take this newest house stand for instance the place they gained only one out of six video games.

In 4 of these 5 losses the Pirates had a win likelihood of 77% or larger within the seventh inning or later, together with back-to-back ninth inning leads. That merely can’t occur. Particularly towards groups that you’re chasing within the standings. 

When the 2024 season started the Pirates anticipated their bullpen to be certainly one of their largest strengths with the trio of Holderman, Chapman and Bednar being counted on to lock down leads and shorten video games. These three have been a wild disappointment. 

Solely the Chicago White Sox have blown extra saves than the Pirates this season. It’s a full waste of what has been one of many league’s greatest beginning rotations. 



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Tags: contentionPiratesPlayoffshowsslippingStat
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