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Will the Boston Celtics be ready to repeat in the 2025 playoffs?

July 30, 2024
in Basketball
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The confetti was nonetheless falling on the finish of Sport 5 within the 2024 Finals, and little doubt somebody, someplace was already asking: “Certain, these Celtics lastly gained the NBA title – however can they repeat?”

It’s a legitimate query. A standard perception in skilled sports activities is that successful two straight titles is the most important mountain any crew can climb, and we don’t disagree. However a examine of basketball historical past reveals that repeating as champs is just not all that uncommon within the NBA – and the Celtics appear well-positioned to do it in 2025.

A complete of 21 franchises have gained no less than one of many 78 NBA* championships – however the title totals are extraordinarily lopsided. In most seasons, one in every of 5 groups has been popping champagne corks on the finish. They’re the Boston Celtics with 18 titles; Los Angeles/Minneapolis Lakers, 17 titles; Golden State/Philadelphia Warriors, seven; Chicago Bulls, six; and San Antonio Spurs, 5.

(* From 1946-1949, the league was often called the BAA, Basketball Affiliation of America.)

These add as much as 53 championships or 67.9% of the titles, leaving a mere 25 titles gained by all the opposite franchises all through NBA historical past. Moreover, no different crew has gained greater than thrice; ten groups have captured only one title; and ten present groups are nonetheless on the lookout for their first championship.

Understanding these information, it shouldn’t be stunning that 23 instances (29.4%) the NBA champions have efficiently defended their crown the subsequent season (see sidebar).

To get a way of how possible the present Celtics are to affix that checklist, we’re going to take a snapshot have a look at every defending champion of the newest 20 seasons. The groups are listed with the years by which they had been searching for to repeat. As you would possibly suspect, to repeat, a crew clearly should be excellent, and likewise very fortunate.

2005 Pistons

Much like the 2024 Celtics, the ‘04 Pistons had a deep and proficient veteran roster, however their solely particular person award winner was heart Ben Wallace (All NBA, All Protection). The Pistons’ protection and veteran poise ended the Lakers’ streak of three straight titles, and Detroit most likely ought to have repeated in opposition to the Spurs within the low-scoring ’05 Finals. Nonetheless, they misplaced Sport 5 at house by inexplicably leaving clutch shooter Robert Horry alone for a game-winning three. The Pistons pushed San Antonio to seven video games, however the Spurs prevailed at house.

2006 Spurs

After successful 63 video games, San Antonio appeared headed again to the Finals, however within the Western Convention semifinals, they fell behind 3-1 to Dirk Nowitzki’s Mavs. The Spurs rallied to power Sport 7 at house and led by three with a half-minute remaining, however Manu Ginobili made an enormous error by fouling Nowitzki on a made layup. Dirk’s and-1 tied the sport, and the Spurs missed two layups within the ultimate seconds. Within the extra time, the energized Mavs by no means trailed whereas the Spurs shot simply 2 of 10.

2007 Warmth

Miami beat Dallas within the ’06 Finals when third-year sensation Dwayne Wade averaged 34.7 factors, helped by going to the free throw line an unbelievable 97 instances in six video games. However in 2007, Shaquille O’Neal – First Group All-NBA within the title run – missed half the season with accidents, the Warmth gained solely 44 video games to complete fourth within the East, and coach Pat Riley had no extra magic. They had been swept 4-0 by Chicago.

2008 Spurs

After sweeping Cleveland in ’07 (LeBron James’ first Finals look with the Cavs), the Spurs had 56 wins and made it to the ’08 Western finals, however misplaced in 5 to the Lakers. The turning level of the collection was this play on the finish of Sport 4, which LA gained by two factors. The NBA later acknowledged a two-shot foul ought to’ve been referred to as.

2009 Celtics

As thrilling because it was to win Banner 17 in 2008, that’s how irritating it was to not repeat in ’09. The primary signal of bother was the lack of clutch sixth-man James Posey, who departed for New Orleans as a free agent. Then the actual killer was Kevin Garnett struggling a knee harm in February at Utah. The Celtics had been 44-11 on the time, however went simply 7-7 as KG missed the subsequent month. He returned for 4 video games, taking part in restricted minutes, then sat out the remainder of the common season. That whole time, the Celtics had been obscure about what to anticipate. Lastly, simply earlier than the primary playoff recreation, they introduced Garnett can be out for your entire playoffs. That was the tip of any hope for a repeat.

The Celtics have performed in a Sport 7 within the NBA Finals eight instances, 5 of them in opposition to the Lakers. Their solely loss was in 2010.

2010 Lakers

This LA crew was the primary to repeat in the course of the 20-season stretch we’re reviewing. Their 57 wins was finest within the West, however they had been lucky that the Cavs (61 wins) and Magic (59 wins) had been each eradicated by the 50-win Celtics, who had a flawed roster that obtained scorching on the proper time. Garnett was again from his ’09 harm however was by no means fairly his traditional self. The Celtics bench was additionally not as productive as previously. Nonetheless, the Cs led 3-2 within the Finals with the final two video games held in Los Angeles. The Lakers recovered to win the collection after Celtic Kendrick Perkins was misplaced to a knee harm in Sport 6, and (as virtually any Celtics fan will let you know) LA shot 21 free throws within the fourth quarter of Sport 7, a four-point comeback win for the house crew.

2011 Lakers

Each LA and Dallas had been 57-25, however after they met within the postseason second spherical, the Mavs ended the Lakers’ run with a sweep. Nowitzki and Jason Terry had been to not be denied, successful three straight low-scoring video games earlier than blowing out LA in Sport 4. The Mavs went on to beat LeBron and the Warmth within the Finals, thus incomes some good will from Celtics followers (till this yr, anyway).

2012 Mavericks

Not like the Celtics re-signing all their key gamers this summer season, Mavs proprietor Mark Cuban selected his funds over the prospect to repeat. He traded All-Protection Second Teamer Tyson Chandler, who was essential to their defeat of Miami, to the Knicks. The Mavs’ protection suffered big-time, whereas Chandler went on to win Defensive Participant of the 12 months and make all-NBA Third Group in New York. Dallas was swept within the first spherical by Oklahoma Metropolis.

2013 Warmth

The second crew to repeat on this stretch, Miami rolled via the common season at 66-16, however wanted two Sport 7s and a number of other miracles to get to the end line. The Indiana Pacers battled them in a back-and-forth Japanese Finals, however the Warmth ended the collection in a blowout Sport 7. Then within the NBA Finals, the Spurs led recreation 6 by 5 factors with the title simply 28 seconds away. The win may’ve been iced on the line, however Ginobili and Kawhi Leonard – each licensed clutch gamers – every missed one in every of two free throws. Additionally, for matchup functions, Spurs coach Gregg Popovich twice subbed Boris Diaw in for Tim Duncan, and each instances the Warmth took benefit with an offensive board that led to a 3. The second was when Chris Bosh obtained it to former Celtic Ray Allen, who tied the rating with the most important three of his life, which is saying one thing. In extra time, San Antonio led by three with 2:42 to play, however didn’t rating once more. They misplaced, 103-100, a end result that defied all logic. After that, Miami was too resilient to lose Sport 7.

2014 Warmth

Miami had no bother getting again to the Finals, going 12-3 within the East playoff rounds. However the Spurs made it again there too, and had been decided to atone for his or her giveaway of 2013. The Warmth gained Sport 2 of the Finals by two factors, however the Spurs demolished them in 5, with every victory by no less than 15 factors. The LeBron period in South Seaside ended as he returned to Cleveland as a free agent.

2015 Spurs

San Antonio had gained 5 titles coming into this postseason, and the LA Clippers had by no means even made the NBA Finals (nonetheless haven’t, truly), however as we’ve seen, something can occur. Once they confronted off within the first spherical of 2015, the Spurs held collection leads of 2-1 and 3-2, however the Clips hung robust and gained a detailed Sport 6 on the highway, then gained Sport 7 at house on a Chris Paul soar shot with one second left. (One thing that’s clear on this assessment: the Duncan/Popovich Spurs had been often called a a clutch veteran group, however they suffered a unprecedented variety of excruciating losses.)

2016 Warriors

The Warriors who defended their 2015 title could have been essentially the most hyped NBA crew of all time. They had been like rock stars, the place followers in visiting arenas would be sure you arrive early simply to observe them heat up, and for good motive. They gained the primary 24 video games on their schedule, by no means misplaced two straight all season, and completed with an all-time NBA finest won-lost report of 73-9. A repeat appeared sure, though they had been down 3-1 within the Western finals earlier than roaring again to beat the Thunder in seven video games. Then they took a 3-1 lead of their very own over the Cavs. A title by no means appeared so assured – till Draymond Inexperienced obtained suspended for smacking LeBron within the crotch in Sport 4. The Cavs roared again with two double-digit wins to power Sport 7. And Kyrie Irving made them pay.

2017 Cavaliers

After most likely the worst choke of all time, Golden State obtained proper again in management by signing free agent Kevin Durant, whose personal Thunder had simply choked away a collection to those self same Warriors. Durant turned down the Celtics’ recruiting efforts and selected the best path, signing with the crew that least wanted his assist. Though the Cavs obtained again to the Finals simply, successful 12 of 13 within the Japanese rounds, they’d no hope in opposition to the newly fortified Warriors, who swept all three collection within the West. Golden State went up 3-0 versus Cleveland and closed them out in a gentleman’s sweep, 4-1.

2018 Warriors

The third and ultimate repeater on this period, the Warriors with Durant had been simply too robust. Their hardest problem was within the Western finals, the place they had been down 3-2 to the Rockets however got here again to win Sport 7 on the highway. The one suspense within the NBA Finals was Sport 1, when LeBron dropped 51 factors, however a bonehead play by JR Smith let the Warriors get to extra time. They took that recreation and went on to brush the collection.

2019 Warriors

Golden State had an opportunity for 3 in a row, however they misplaced the Finals to the Toronto Raptors, partly as a result of Durant and Klay Thompson each went down with season-ending accidents in the course of the collection. Toronto had boldly traded franchise icon DeMar DeRozan for a rental of disgruntled Spurs star Kawhi Leonard, and it paid off of their solely title up to now. Kawhi left after that one season, however Raptors followers will all the time have a banner in addition to this epic series-winning buzzer-beater.

2020 Raptors

The Raptors virtually didn’t have the chance to defend their title due to the COVID pandemic, till the NBA assembled the bubble in Disney World. Nonetheless, Toronto was four-tenths of a second from falling behind the Celtics 3-0, till OG Anunoby hit a prayer three for the win. The Celtics later led the collection 3-2, however Toronto stayed alive with a double OT win in Sport 6. The Celtics gained Sport 7 behind Jayson Tatum’s team-high 29 factors, 12 rebounds and seven assists. Marcus Sensible made what turned out to be the game-winning defensive play.

2021 Lakers

Again in the actual world, the Lakers snuck into the playoffs because the no. 7 seed after surviving the Play-In event. Their protection was good, their offense was not, they usually went via a 9-17 stretch in the course of the second half of the season. Phoenix eradicated them in six video games within the first spherical.

2022 Bucks

Celtics followers will keep in mind how the Bucks’ quest to repeat ended. Boston was on the brink after Milwaukee gained Sport 5 at TD Backyard, however Tatum saved the season with a traditional efficiency on the highway in Sport 6: 46 factors on 17-32 taking pictures, with 9 rebounds and 4 assists. Then Grant Williams made 7 threes in Sport 7 to eradicate the pissed off Bucks. (By the way in which, that man Jrue Vacation had a fairly good collection for the Bucks.)

2023 Warriors

You would possibly suppose gamers can be in good spirits at coaching camp after successful the title, however Draymond Inexperienced is totally different. He had some form of beef with teammate Jordan Poole, and his method of fixing it was to sucker punch Poole throughout follow. Inexperienced was suspended for a part of camp, however not for any common season video games, and that end result gave the impression to be unhealthy karma for the Warriors’ season. They completed because the sixth seed, needed to win a Sport 7 at Sacramento to outlive the primary spherical, after which had been eradicated by the Lakers in six ugly video games. A catastrophe all the way in which round, and Poole was traded after the season.

2024 Nuggets

Nikola Jokic gained his third Most Useful Participant award and Coach Mike Malone was fairly assured that Denver can be again within the Finals this yr. However the lack of Jeff Inexperienced and Bruce Brown to free company was extra damaging than anticipated. The Nuggets took out the Lakers in 5 video games, however then couldn’t cease Anthony Edwards and the Timberwolves. Denver led that collection 3-2, however utterly melted down, shedding Sport 6 by 45 factors after which dropping Sport 7 at house, 98-90.

What can we be taught from this assessment? Nicely, we all know successful is tough to do. And to reach repeating requires all types of psychological toughness, bodily stamina and plain outdated good luck. All the things appeared to go Boston’s method final season. Now, the Celtics shall be challenged by well being considerations (as all the time), potential fatigue after three starters play within the Olympics, and the absence of Kristaps Porzingis as he recovers from surgical procedure.

It’s unreal and unprecedented that Brad Stevens and present possession have dedicated a billion {dollars} to increase contracts for each key Celtics, holding the championship roster in place. That alone ought to make Boston the favourite to repeat. However simply exhibiting up gained’t be sufficient, so maybe the most important query is, will the Celtics be as hungry to win it the second time?

We are able to solely wait and see.

Analysis sources for this piece: landofbasketball.com and basketball-reference.com



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