12:00
Dan Szymborski: And away we go!
12:01
: What would the Mets have to surrender to get Stop – if he’s out there?
12:02
Dan Szymborski: I feel the nearer we get to the season, the extra the Padres will dangle onto him.
12:03
Dan Szymborski: The Mets will surely have to surrender one thing actual. YOu can in all probability fatten the provide a bit with guys the Padres have extra motive to love than the Mets.
12:04
Dan Szymborski: Like Clifford, who might be extra helpful to San Diego, however you’re not going to land him with JUST Clifford
12:04
Dan Szymborski: I kinda get the concept that the mets are happyw ith their rotation, and never more likely to meet a wealthy worth
12:04
: Prime 500 ZiPS, Prime 500 ZiPS, Prime 500 ZiPS!
It’s all of the individuals are clamoring for, Dan! (however for actual, thanks as at all times for the ZiPS view into prospects). It will be cool to interrupt down the offensive vs defensive cut up between the WAR for the gamers on the highest 100. And even higher, doing a ‘instruments’ breakdown the place we are able to see how the ZiPS creator thinks every prospect will earn his stripes in an analogous method to the scouting breakdowns (Hit/energy/velocity/protection).
Cheers!
12:04
Dan Szymborski: I don’t like doing the entire 500 as a result of the farther down you go, the much less significant the variations are abetween the prospects
12:05
Dan Szymborski: And simply from a projection standpoint, I don’t like utilizing ZiPS for issues that I don’t suppose ZiPS offers worth for
12:05
: Taking a look at some pitching prospects that missed your prime 100 however appear to undertaking properly by ZiPS 26/27: why did Lucas Braun, Noah Cameron, Joe Rock, Braxton Ashcroft, Thomas Harrington, Chad Patrick, Logan Henderson, and KC Hunt miss? How far down the listing are they and will you see any of them pushing into prime 100 territory this yr?
12:05
Dan Szymborski: I can’t communicate for every participant! It’s often a operate of the upside/draw back projections
12:06
Dan Szymborski: I feel it was 2020, I began utilizing 80/20 common as a substitute of fifty, since I felt the listing was *too* pleased with decrease ceiling, excessive flooring guys
12:07
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS could also be math, however defining what a “prime prospect” *means* is philosophical
12:07
: Hey Dan! Thanks for these chats, they’re superior. In an public sale keeper league (3 yr keepers), is it usually okay to maintain guys at price or just a little increased? Do I retain a $36 Lindor (projections say he’ll be price $33), or do I throw him again and hope to make use of that cap house to draft a discount (perhaps even Lindor once more at a less expensive worth)? How agency ought to I persist with my preseason projected values?! Thanks!
12:08
Dan Szymborski: It actually depends upon who truly you’d realistically be capable of get beneath your keeper guidelines
12:10
Dan Szymborski: However simply talking so generically, given the expertise on the prime and the depth of shortstop, I is perhaps inclined to re-use that cap house
12:10
Dan Szymborski: particularly if it didn’t seem like my group was sturdy sufficient to compete
12:11
Dan Szymborski: Like, would McLain at half the worth offer you sufficient cash to get somebody you want?
12:11
Dan Szymborski: That’s one thing it’s important to contemplate
12:11
: There are just a few gamers like Hyeseong Kim who seem within the ZiPS DC projection, however not the common ZiPS. Is there a lot of a distinction within the projections in these areas and/or is there an replace coming?
12:11
Dan Szymborski: If the participant doesn’t have common ZiPS projection, the DC one is an odd database error
12:12
Dan Szymborski: I’ve to look into it extra; I unintentionally didn’t give Sasaki and Kim, they usually had bizarre ZiPS DC projections that didn’t have an effect on the depth chart proejctions in any respect
12:13
Dan Szymborski: 
12:13
Dan Szymborski: that’s kim
12:13
: Hello Dan, do you will have a favourite snack meals?
12:13
Dan Szymborski: I are likely to not be a snacker
12:13
Dan Szymborski: however my favourite snacks can be Cool Ranch Doritos and both Utz Crab or Salt & Vinegar chips
12:13
Dan Szymborski: sweet, principally simply Bitter Patch Youngsters
12:14
Dan Szymborski: however I principally don’t deal with myself. I’m a fatass WITH a fairly nutritious diet
12:14
: May you give a fast clarification of the variations between Zips & Zips DC? Thanks.
12:14
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS DC is simply ZiPS pro-rated to whateve’rs on the depth charts on the time
12:14
: Dan, thx for the good work as at all times. Any easy-to-share ideas on the again half of the highest 100 SS? What makes Nachoooooooooooooooo so thrilling to zips? Does it discover Freeland’s rise to be a bit too sudden?
12:14
Dan Szymborski: For one, ZiPS doesn’t share the idea across the league that he’s not defensive SS
12:15
: With Horowitz out for in all probability the primary month or 2 of the season for the Pirates, who will get nearly all of the taking part in time at 1B?
12:15
Dan Szymborski: Because it doesn’t appear to be REynolds, they in all probability simply throw Triolo or somebody there early
12:16
: Are you aware why precisely Ben Rice has the worst defensive projection of all gamers in baseball? Is it simply because he’s new to 1B or is there one thing based mostly in his play there that ZiPS doesn’t like
12:16
Dan Szymborski: The chance/coordinate technique I exploit within the minors REALLY hates his protection
12:16
: I used to be stunned to see Drake Baldwin outdoors of ZIPs prime 200 prospects when he’s FGs 11 ranked prospect. Is there some crimson flag together with his profile the pc is seeing?
12:16
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS simply doesn’t see his UPSIDE as excessive. He’d rank quite a bit increased simply doing fiftieth percentile
12:17
Dan Szymborski: And like all of the catchers, he takes successful from being a catcher
12:17
Dan Szymborski: As a result of catchers have a LOT of blow-up potential
12:17
: Is ZiPS a bit behind on Drake Baldwin? Looks like the consensus is far increased than projections
12:17
Dan Szymborski: It would, it may not be. Solely time can inform
12:17
: Colt Keith over Spencer Torkelson at 1B for Detroit based mostly on Zips manufacturing (for my factors league) however how weak is Keith to an in-season improve by way of commerce iyo?
12:17
Dan Szymborski: I feel he’s pretty solvable
12:17
: Have you ever ever appeared into how BaseballTradeValues does participant values? It seems like they take a really comparable strategy to ZiPS, however additionally they appear to get extra warmth than ZiPS does.
12:18
Dan Szymborski: They get extra warmth becuase they’ve a one dimension matches all device that everybody digs aside!
12:18
Dan Szymborski: I solely do a commerce piece like yearly, and that edefinitely will get folks mad at me
12:18
: Do you intend to make use of/presently use stuff+ in ZiPS pitcher projections? If not, would you slightly construct your individual or simply embrace an exterior mannequin?
12:19
Dan Szymborski: I’ve my very own factor I exploit as a result of it’s simpler for me to check projection interactions
12:19
Dan Szymborski: Principally any mannequin in ZiPS is one I’ve put collectively. It seems like dishonest to make use of the enter of others
12:19
Dan Szymborski: And after I management the mannequin for one thing, I also can calibrate it myself
12:20
Dan Szymborski: I don’t publish my very own stuff numbers (I internally name it Ztuff), since I feel the confusion of yet one more quantity on the market outweighs the attainable achieve
12:20
Dan Szymborski: which is why I solely use zWAR for inside and the ZiPS rudnowns
12:21
: Howdy – you’ve talked about up to now chats that median projections are principally solved / there’s not an enormous quantity of variance. Studying the zips prime 100, I’m questioning does this go for prospect projections as properly (and KBO/NPB)? Or is there extra variance there?
12:21
Dan Szymborski: That’s laborious to say just because I don’t suppose different projectioniers are doing their very own prime 100!
12:21
: Why aren’t extra groups concerned with Yoshida? It will resolve a number of Crimson Sox lineup issues.
12:21
Dan Szymborski: DH solely tends to scare away groups until they’re CERTAIN concerning the offense
12:22
: Hey Dan! The Cubs simply DFA’d Canario, and I’m unreasonably upset about it (primarily as a result of I’m offended over again that Ross didn’t play him in 2023 to see what he might be). I get that he’s a 40-45fv man, however I’d slightly roster a 24yo energy man than the smoldering corpse of Justin Turner. What do you (and ZiPS) suppose?
12:22
Dan Szymborski: It’s not a lot Turner that bothers me
12:24
Dan Szymborski: However do you REALLY want Hollowell, when the choice is dropping Canario?
12:25
: In case you have been the White Sox, would you commerce Luis Robert proper now or would you are taking the danger that he’ll be again to type and also you would possibly get a greater package deal on the commerce deadline?
12:25
Dan Szymborski: It’s laborious to say since I don’t know what the precise affords ARE
12:25
: What statistics does ZiPS optimize for? e.g. is it extra correct for PA, BA, HR, and so forth.? And the way does it create the 20/80 percentile outcomes?
12:25
Dan Szymborski: I most care about getting the OPS+/wRC+ and the ERA+/FIP proper
12:25
Dan Szymborski: plus D
12:25
: Does ZiPS use strikeout park elements, BIP splits (lefty/proper/HR/triple/double/single/outs), or one thing much more tremendous? Has T-Cell made you contemplate including extra park elements?
12:26
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS makes use of the BIP splits lefty and righty however it additionally has an algorithm for park issue/pull-spray tendency interactions
12:26
: Enjoyable projection thought: in your season simulation, midway by way of the simulation, re-project gamers, and re-weight taking part in time by the brand new projection. In idea, this may increase groups with extra depth (although I think about it might take some time to run)
12:26
Dan Szymborski: I kinda hope that the methodology I exploit hits depth fairly properly and that’s already fairly workload intensive!
12:27
: Along with your zips prospect listing, with a man like Caissie for instance, when zips has him fairly excessive within the prime 100 however fan graphs has him off their listing, what’s the large distinction? Zips taking a look at his energy manufacturing within the minors whereas Eric is utilizing conventional scouting that has him scared concerning the swing and miss?
12:28
Dan Szymborski: It will be fairly presumptuous for me to take a position on precisely how Eric feels! ZiPS might be a fan of the hulk smash guys than most scouting guys are
12:28
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS was the best on Decide and Alonso and in addition Bryce Eldridge
12:28
: Do you suppose he will get moved on the deadline? As a yankees fan I can’t cease hoping he would possibly need to be a part of Goldschmidt
12:29
Dan Szymborski: Is determined by the scenario. It’s a risk
12:29
: Does the Zips projection change a lot for Pivetta with him shifting to SD? Final yr SD allowed fairly just a few HRs and he’s a flyball man…
12:29
Dan Szymborski: A bit. His projection in there ought to be SD!
12:29
: In case you ever get again to doing ZiPS Time Warps, are you able to please what-if Chuck Knoblauch by no means leaving Minnesota or getting the YiPS?
12:29
: How do you steadiness your writing obligations with life? Like when there are holidays do you “take off” and simply determine you’re not going to consider baseball or concepts? Or is it way more fluid and also you’ve come to peace with figuring out some days you’ll have it and a few days you received’t and simply being tremendous with it?
12:29
Dan Szymborski: Query one? Fairly poorly truly.
12:30
Dan Szymborski: The very fact is, baseball has been one in all my main pursuits since I used to be 4
12:30
Dan Szymborski: In kindergarten and first grade, I exploit to fill otu these black and white composition books with stats
12:30
Dan Szymborski: So the reality is, I’m by no means actually FULLY off
12:32
Dan Szymborski: That’s one motive video video games are informal exercise for me, as a result of it’s one thing that’s REALLY laborious for me to multitask until it’s an RPG
12:32
Dan Szymborski: Like most of my TV watching will finish with me doing work and kinda listening to the TV
12:32
: I, such as you, have a reasonably internet-dependent job. Do you ever take into consideration what you’d do within the case of a worldwide web outage? I feel I’d must get like, a job stocking cabinets or one thing.
12:32
Dan Szymborski: Relies upon how lengthy this web outage is!
12:33
Dan Szymborski: If we’re speaking various years, I’d have to vary fields
12:33
: I for one would like to examine zstuff, notably in case you can calculate it in excel!
12:33
Dan Szymborski: I’d write some this winter
12:33
: Since a group that scores 700 runs and permits 600 has the next projected profitable % than one which scores 800 and permits 700, aren’t runs prevented a tiny bit extra helpful than runs scored? Does that make sufficient of a distinction to vary how we view pitchers versus batters worth?
12:34
Dan Szymborski: It’s not sufficient of a distinction; it’s principally only a quirk in a easy mannequin slightly than something useful
12:34
: How does ZiPS consider first basemen within the minors? Is there receiving credit score?
12:35
Dan Szymborski: One thing like scoops is out of ZiPS ken. It’s laborious sufficient to do within the majors (and even then, just a few runs by hook or by crook and fairly unstable)
12:37
Dan Szymborski: However for example, on grounders, I do know the path of each ball hit
12:38
Dan Szymborski: For instance, the grounds most probably to grow to be outs, in MLB and hte minors
12:39
Dan Szymborski: are these hit (with straight up by way of second base as 0 levels) 16 levels (90.1%), 15 levels (89.9%)`, 17 levels (89.7%), 14 levels (89.5%), -17 levels (89.4%), -16 levels (89.3%), and so forth
12:41
Dan Szymborski: whiel the grounders with the bottom probability of being outs are the three levels closest to first, the three levels closest to 3rd, then 0 and one diploma on both sice of second
12:44
Dan Szymborski: 
12:44
: Hey Dan, it’s Joe from BlueSky, the one pestering you with all of the ramen content material. Anyhow, ZiPS appears to have a crush on Owen Caissie and would similar to to get some context on that. Caissie doesn’t appear to have the caliber glove (per current reviews) that your mannequin loves, so I take it the mannequin is extra bullish on him slicing his ok charge and actualizing his peak? Thanks for the whole lot you do Dan, as at all times.
12:45
Dan Szymborski: Okay charge is overrate for good offensive gamers
12:45
Dan Szymborski: within the minors
12:45
Dan Szymborski: I name this the Kris Bryant Rule
12:45
Dan Szymborski: Now, Caissie’s not projected to be anyplace nearly as good as Bryant
12:45
Dan Szymborski: however the precept is identical
12:46
Dan Szymborski: One of many largest dangers for an offense-first prospect is *passivity*
12:46
Dan Szymborski: Good offensive prospects are hitting properly in opposition to minor league pitchers (or they wouldn’t be good offensive prospects)
12:47
Dan Szymborski: they’re *incentivized* to place the ball in play and minor league pitchers are giving them extra hittable crap than MLB ones would
12:47
Dan Szymborski: I exploit Bryant as a result of after the aggressive projections, lots of people in chat identified that he struck out quite a bit within the minors
12:48
Dan Szymborski: Now, you need guys making contact
12:48
Dan Szymborski: however it’s simply LESS of an enormous deal for good hitters
12:48
Dan Szymborski: And whether or not or not Caissie tightens issues up in opposition to MLB pitchers, that’s one of many issues that can decide what he finally ends up being
12:49
: When can we count on Fangraphs to have an equal BaseballTradeValues kind device?
12:49
Dan Szymborski: Not anytime quickly, if ever, I don’t think about
12:49
Dan Szymborski: I dont’ suppose that’s a precedence and we now have a number of different stuff to work on
12:49
: My cat has taken to nibbling on any textile that has a glimmer of meals: tea towels, tablecloths, sweater sleeves. What’s her Zips MLB GM comp? Is she an Elias, nibbling on the sides, making certain that the ultimate object continues to be good however not appropriate for the World Collection? A Brian O’Halloran, opportunistically getting hers even when it means taking over some linen-based bloat? Or a Friedman, who simply thinks the whole lot on the market belongs to her?
12:50
Dan Szymborski: Preller perhaps? He’s at all times doing SOMETHING even when not at all times good
12:50
: Who’s your choose for the yearly “man who runs a 1.000 OPS in spring coaching after which brutally stabs his unrealistic fantasy homeowners within the again when actual video games begin” award? Properly name this the Akil Baddoo Switcheroo
12:51
Dan Szymborski: Ah, but when we might predict the spring man, then he woudln’t be the spring man!
12:51
: Simply curious, does ZiPs use AFL knowledge with prospects? Or purely minor league common season?
12:51
Dan Szymborski: As with faculty knowledge, solely when it actually HAS TO
12:51
: Ought to the Cubs signal Trevor Bauer?
12:51
Dan Szymborski: No
12:51
: Is it embarrassing I hope I consider that Michael McGreevy generally is a Kyle Gibson kind? I see room for him to be a strong 5 within the majors. Ideas?
12:51
Dan Szymborski: Nothing unsuitable with consuming innings
12:51
Dan Szymborski: Most baseball gamers aren’t nice ones
12:52
Dan Szymborski: I’m not going to win a BBWAA lifetime achievement award
12:52
Dan Szymborski: A lot of the eating places you like close to you aren’t getting Michelin stars
12:52
: What does ZiPS seem like? Something like WOPR from Struggle Video games?
12:54
Dan Szymborski: 
12:55
Dan Szymborski: Until I’m making the backup server crunch numbers (which I continuously do)
12:55
Dan Szymborski: 
12:55
: NOMB…is ZIPS your fundamental supply of earnings? REALLY NOMB…..is your annual earnings> $100K.
12:56
Dan Szymborski: Not going into element, however FanGraphs is my main employer.
12:56
Dan Szymborski: I write quite a bit too!
12:56
: How would you kind the Crimson Sox’s rising positional farrago?
12:56
Dan Szymborski: In a approach that will make Rafael Devers actually pissed at me
12:56
: Are you aware if we’ll get faculty leaderboards now that a few of these faculty knowledge are on FG?
12:56
Dan Szymborski: Unsure, I can ask
12:56
: what odds would it’s important to get to place $100 on your self profitable a BBWAA liftime achivement award? I consider in you, I’d do it for 10,000 to 1!
12:56
Dan Szymborski: 300-to-1
12:57
: Beloved seeing ZiPS so excessive on Cole Younger. His manufacturing over his final 46 video games age 20 in AA was similar to Jackson Merrill’s 46 recreation manufacturing a yr earlier than on the similar age in the identical league. (323/.433/.437/.870 for Younger; .273/.338/.444/.782 for Merrill). Does ZiPS think about that latest of a comp?
12:57
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS will discover the comp, but when there’s restricted or no knowledge after the comp yr, it received’t use the participant
12:58
: In case you might construct a participant that ZiPS can be completely in love with whereas nonetheless being “beneath the radar” by extra conventional assessments, what would that participant’s skillset seem like?
12:58
Dan Szymborski: barely older, higher defensive numbers than you’d count on from their athleticism,
12:59
: With 2023, 2024, potential 2025 free brokers, when their stats come up in an article most authors embrace a caveat for the 60 recreation 2020 season. Do you suppose that caveat will cease showing in our lifetimes?
12:59
Dan Szymborski: It’ll fade away, besides when a man is near a milestone
12:59
Dan Szymborski: and it makes a distinction
12:59
: Would you be keen to share a ZIPS projection for Tucker or Vlad’s subsequent contract?
12:59
Dan Szymborski: I’m doing a Vlad piece for MOnday!
12:59
: do baseball groups do the Wonderlic take a look at?
1:00
Dan Szymborski: I haven’t heard of them doing it, however that’s probably not a facet that I get entangled in
1:00
: one other q about how you’re employed… whenever you do consulting for groups, are you similar to, “positive! beep boop beep!” and then you definitely print out what zips provides you? Or are you making important algorithmic / output choices which are significantly extra work than your each day?
1:00
Dan Szymborski: It’s a really tough scenario, so 20 years in the past, I needed to make the choice to be very strict with confidentiality wall
1:02
Dan Szymborski: I merely report the precise factor that’s requested and supply the report. I don’t provide any opinions or recommendation and even any advising of what knowledge somebody *ought to* get, each group will get the identical charge as each different group with all requests accepted, each player-agent will get the identical charge as each different player-agent
1:04
Dan Szymborski: I don’t make gross sales pitches, and the whole lot I do, apart from the required IRS reporting, I take to the grave.
1:05
Dan Szymborski: And this has labored out properly through the years. I’ve bought *one thing* to greater than half the groups. My ultimate can be to do the whole lot fully blind, however folks in entrance places of work need to speak to me, not a intermediary consultant
1:07
Dan Szymborski: One exception on the identical charge: I don’t cost gamers who should not on a 40-man roster or an MLB free agent for fundamental long-term projections.
1:09
: Sox ought to have had made positive Devers was okay with transfer to 1B earlier than signing Bregman, proper? Until they commerce from their place participant surplus the group is finest with Bregman at third.
1:09
Dan Szymborski: I’d positively wish to have been a fly on the wall and see what discussions are
1:09
: Have you ever ever in contrast ZIPS projections in opposition to actual world numbers and if that’s the case, how have been the outcomes?
1:09
Dan Szymborski: On a regular basis!
1:10
Dan Szymborski: 
1:10
Dan Szymborski: Hey, rightclicking a picture in Twitter truly goes to the picture now, not the tweet!
1:11
: I’ve uncovered that a lot of the baseball gamers in your database are literally over 100 years outdated. Some are even 150 years outdated. You guys higher tighten issues up
1:11
: You mentioned earlier that ZiPS turns into much less helpful the farther down you go. May you do a ZiPs Prime 5 Prospect by group?
1:11
Dan Szymborski: I COULD. I’d do prime 200 final yr since so many individuals need them
1:11
: Nolan Ryan pitched 332 innings of sub 3 ERA and FIP in 1974 however is just credited with 6.3 WAR. What provides?
1:12
Dan Szymborski: keep in mind, 1974 was a 3.63 FIP league
1:13
Dan Szymborski: And Angels Stadium was a pitchers park in that period
1:14
: Why are pulled barrels higher than sprayed barrels? Isn’t the purpose of a barrel that it’s the identical EV and angle regardless? I heard this from Eno
1:14
Dan Szymborski: I erally must see the context
1:14
: Ever performed OOTP?
1:14
Dan Szymborski: Sure’
1:15
Dan Szymborski: And so they construct the rankings off the ZiPS projections!
1:15
: Is there any profit to Bluesky or is it only a political choice?
1:15
Dan Szymborski: I exploit each Twitter and Bluesky
1:16
Dan Szymborski: I’m hoping all of the left-wingers and right-wingers kind themselves out amongst Blue Sky and Twitter effectively to make it simpler to disregard
1:16
: How do you talk with the opposite Fangraphs of us?
1:16
Dan Szymborski: The identical approach most individuals do?
1:16
Dan Szymborski: I don’t do telepathy
1:16
: Actually just like the Nats Soroka signing considering it might be the 25 model of Sale,R Lopez ideas?
1:16
Dan Szymborski: Meh
1:17
Dan Szymborski: However whether it is, you may come again right here and crow about it for positive!
1:17
: So the Nolan Ryan that is simply because relative to his piers it wasn’t as spectacular as it might be immediately?
1:17
Dan Szymborski: It was only a decrease offensive surroundings
1:17
: I used to be stunned to not see JJ Wetherholt within the ZiPS 100. He appears to be a consensus prime 50-ish propspect throughout rankings. What does your pc see in another way?
1:17
Dan Szymborski: Guys with little skilled expertise take an enormous hit in projections
1:18
Dan Szymborski: ZiPS was unusually optimistic final yr about Langford
1:18
Dan Szymborski: Crews took an enormous comparable hit final yr
1:18
: The Orioles are spending $75M this yr on their bench, 4/5 starters, three center relievers, and AAA depth. I don’t know what to say, it’s simply so dumb in contrast after being too poor to maintain Burnes or Santander or lengthen actually anybody
1:18
Dan Szymborski: I’d not have stored Santander, however I positive woudl have gone after Burnes
1:18
: FYI – The brand new Adam Sandler film “Spaceman” is totally horrible. Don’t waste your time.
1:19
: Nolan Ryan: Yeah, however the innings
1:19
Dan Szymborski: WAR takes into consideration innings
1:19
: May MLB or the opposite homeowners ever pressure or “persuade” Bob Nutting to promote the Pirates? He’s at all times been low-cost and unpopular, however it seems like each have reached new heights, particularly given the expertise on the roster.
1:19
Dan Szymborski: I imply they COULD however they received’t
1:20
Dan Szymborski: Even Wilpons weren’t truly pressured by MLB
1:20
Dan Szymborski: They let Jeff Loria have a SECOND group
1:21
Dan Szymborski: On that observe, it’s time for me to go out for one more week
1:21
Dan Szymborski: Thanks for coming everybody!
Dan Szymborski is a senior author for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a author for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a daily visitor on a lot of radio reveals and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He additionally maintains a horrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
