The Phillies received their ninth straight sport on Sunday. Cristopher Sánchez began and Kyle Schwarber hit a game-winning dwelling run.
There are dwelling runs after which there are dwelling runs, and even by Schwarber’s requirements, this one was a tank: straight out to useless middle, over the batter’s eye.
Twelve days in the past, when the Phillies headed out to Iowa for the Area of Goals sport, they had been 9.5 video games out of first place within the NL East. If the season had ended then, they might’ve misplaced out to the Diamondbacks on a tiebreaker for the ultimate Wild Card spot.
Since then, they’ve lower the hole between themselves and the Braves by two thirds. With seven video games remaining between these two groups within the closing month of the season, the division title is actually up for grabs now:

You Aren’t a FanGraphs Member
It appears such as you aren’t but a FanGraphs Member (or aren’t logged in). We aren’t mad, simply dissatisfied.
We get it. You wish to learn this text. However earlier than we allow you to get again to it, we might prefer to level out a couple of of the great explanation why it’s best to turn out to be a Member.
1. Advert Free viewing! We can’t bug you with this advert, or another.
2. Limitless articles! Non-Members solely get to learn 10 free articles a month. Members by no means get lower off.
3. Darkish mode and Basic mode!
4. Customized participant web page dashboards! Select the participant playing cards you need, within the order you need them.
5. One-click information exports! Export our projections and leaderboards on your private tasks.
6. Take away the pictures on the house web page! (Actually, this does not sound so nice to us, however some individuals needed it, and we like to present our Members what they need.)
7. Much more Steamer projections! We have now handedness, percentile, and context impartial projections accessible for Members solely.
8. Get FanGraphs Stroll-Off, a custom-made 12 months finish assessment! Discover out precisely the way you used FanGraphs this 12 months, and the way that compares to different Members. Do not be a sufferer of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, completely for Members.
10. Assist assist FanGraphs and our whole employees! Our Members present us with essential sources to enhance the location and ship new options!
We hope you may think about a Membership at the moment, for your self or as a present! And we notice this has been an awfully lengthy gross sales pitch, so we have additionally eliminated all the opposite adverts on this article. We did not wish to overdo it.
Even when the Phillies fall brief of their pursuit of the Braves, they might nonetheless host a Wild Card collection; they’ve gone from fourth place within the Wild Card race and seven.5 video games behind the Cubs to second place and two video games again.
With Sánchez on the mound and Schwarber offering the offense, you possibly can be forgiven for pondering the Phillies are performing as designed.
That design: There are 23 pitchers within the league who’re both at present on contracts value $100 million or extra, or who’ve a pending nine-figure extension coming. The Phillies have 4 of them— Sánchez, Zack Wheeler, Jesús Luzardo, and Aaron Nola. Along with that quartet, the Phillies even have a former no. 1 international pitching prospect, Andrew Painter, and maybe one of the best non-Mason Miller nearer within the league in Jhoan Duran.
The hope is that these six pitchers, plus possibly Orion Kerkering and Jonathan Bowlan, throw as most of the Phillies’ high-leverage innings as doable and by no means surrender a run. Ideally, contemplating that the staff’s defensive equipment may be charitably described as “ramshackle,” they wouldn’t even permit a batted ball.
If the pitching employees actually by no means offers up a run, a solo dwelling run by both Schwarber or Bryce Harper could be sufficient to hold the day. (We are able to’t count on each Schwarber and Harper to homer each single sport; that simply wouldn’t be sensible.)
That’s a treacherous tightrope to stroll. Particularly as a result of Painter’s first journey by the majors has been terrible, and Nola’s annus horribilis in 2025 appears extra like the brand new regular than an aberration. It’s simple to see how such a staff may find yourself on the improper facet of the playoff bubble. On the identical time, a staff with principally the identical make-up almost white-knuckled previous the Dodgers, even with out Wheeler, in final 12 months’s NLDS. The variance for a ballclub with this building is, in brief, appreciable.
When the Phillies went to Iowa, their followers had been beginning to surrender not simply on this season, however on your entire Harper-Wheeler-Schwarber-led aggressive window. I joked that the staff may please its supporters most by leaving sure gamers on the farm in Dyersville; responses had been break up on whether or not Nola, Alec Bohm, or Trea Turner would greatest serve the staff by disappearing into the cornfield with Burt Lancaster.
Since then, Nola has ripped off two terrific begins; in Iowa, he allowed one run in 5 innings whereas placing out a season-high 9 Twins. Final Wednesday in opposition to the Marlins, Nola struck out one other eight batters in seven innings of one-run ball.
Most necessary, the single-inning blowups which have haunted Nola for a lot of the 2020s — even when he was a constant Cy Younger also-ran — have dried up. Nola stays probably the most homer-prone pitcher within the league, with 31 in 137 innings, however that’s all he’s given up over the previous two months.
On June 29, the Pirates scalded Nola for eight runs in 4 1/3 innings. It was the fourth straight begin wherein he allowed a number of dwelling runs. His ERA after that begin, 6.04, matched his season excessive.
In 9 begins since, Nola has a 3.63 ERA. He’s allowed 12 dwelling runs—which is a large whole for a 52-inning span—however 9 of these had been solo photographs and the opposite three got here with solely a single runner on base. And other than these 15 runs instantly from the lengthy ball, Nola has solely given up six runs in all different circumstances for the reason that finish of June.
It’s not Sport 1 of a playoff collection stuff, but it surely’s higher than what got here earlier than.
Painter, banished to the minors in mid-June with an ERA over 7.00, has returned to the massive league rotation over the previous month, principally for lack of a greater choice. However he, too, has been good: a 3.62 ERA and three.93 FIP in 5 begins, culminating in a seven-inning, eight-strikeout, no-walk gem in opposition to the Cardinals on Saturday. Painter, whose stuff has been maddeningly inconsistent this 12 months, hit 99.6 mph on his one hundredth pitch of the evening.
However probably the most astonishing turnaround has been Bohm’s. A one-time All-Star and occasional contact machine, Bohm has been uncovered hitting behind Harper over the previous few years. It tells you every little thing you must learn about his Phillies profession that Bohm has sometimes drawn (and deserved, which is worse) comparisons to Ben Simmons.
Throughout this nine-game successful streak, nevertheless, Bohm is hitting .457/.472/.743, with a team-high 12 RBI. The Phillies’ greatest hitter on this run has not been Harper or Schwarber, or Brandon Marsh, or new acquisition Luis Arraez. It hasn’t been Bryson Stott, who’s tenth in place participant WAR for the reason that break. It’s Bohm, who appeared decided to finish his Phillies profession with a whimper.
And it’s not only a good week and alter. Because the break, Bohm is hitting .336/.378/.488 with a strikeout price of simply 9.6%. He has extra multi-hit video games in that stretch (13) than hitless ones (9, together with two wherein he entered the sport as an eighth-inning defensive substitute).
The Phillies want Sánchez, Wheeler, Luzardo, Harper, Schwarber, and Duran to carry out in the event that they wish to keep above water. As soon as Nola, Painter, and Bohm began pitching in, every little thing began to click on.
Nonetheless rocky these three gamers’ current careers have been, they’re all former first-round picks. The Phillies have moreover spent a small fortune in wage to maintain Nola and Bohm round through the years. They’re, for good or sick, a part of the core. When the core performs, you don’t go in search of omens and portents. You don’t begin the “staff of future” chatter, even satirically.
On Sunday, the portents, equivalent to they had been, couldn’t have been higher. Sánchez was on the mound. Megan Keller, who scored the gold medal-winning purpose for the U.S. girls’s hockey staff at this previous Winter Olympics, threw out the primary pitch, swapped jerseys with Harper, and joined the native TV broadcast. Keller introduced her medal alongside, which drew appropriately reverent oohs and aahs from Tom McCarthy, Cole Hamels, and John Kruk. (Kruk, apparently unaware that Olympic gold medals are product of silver and coated in gold leaf, requested how a lot you possibly can get for one should you melted it down.)
The solar was shining, the worst of the oppressive summer-long warmth wave had lastly damaged, and all children 14 and below had been entitled to a Bryce Harper soccer jersey, courtesy of the native energy firm. Life was good.
However with two outs within the ninth inning and the Cardinals up 4-0, it appeared just like the successful streak had run its course. Sánchez didn’t pitch too badly, however the Cardinals had been capable of string collectively sufficient hits to construct a lead. The Phillies had no such luck in opposition to Kyle Leahy and the cavalcade of relievers who adopted. Stott fouled a ball off his foot and needed to go away the sport. It occurs. Even Phillies followers, testy as they are often, perceive you could’t actually win ‘em all.
All-Star nearer Riley O’Brien hadn’t thrown in two days and the Cardinals had been heading into an off day, so supervisor Oliver Marmol known as for his aid ace in a non-save scenario. O’Brien pitched round a leadoff double from Harper, inducing sedate pop flies from fellow All-Stars Arraez and Marsh, to carry up a punchless backside half of the order.
Spectacular because the Phillies’ successful streak had been to that time, it wasn’t precisely outlined by late-game heroics; they’d outscored their opponents 58-26 over that stretch. They’d received six of these eight video games by a number of runs and led one of many different two by a number of runs a lot of the approach, earlier than the bullpen let the Marlins again into the sport.
However the Phillies discovered their aptitude for the dramatic right here.
After O’Brien obtained to 2 outs, every of the subsequent 5 Phillies hitters reached and scored, in unbelievable trend. The 35-year-old J.T. Realmuto is within the first 12 months of a three-year, $45 million extension that already appears like a catastrophe. He rapidly fell behind 0-2, a depend from which he’s hitting .165/.205/.253 this season. He punched a single to middle.
Justin Crawford adopted with a five-pitch stroll, his solely free cross for the reason that Phillies’ win streak started, to load the bases. Final 12 months, Edmundo Sosa was probably the greatest fifth infielders within the league, exhibiting a mixture of defensive versatility and right-handed pop that many groups would’ve been proud of from their beginning shortstop. A 111 wRC+ final 12 months has changed into a 72 wRC+ this 12 months. He, too, fought again from a two-strike depend to clear the bases with a double.
That introduced up no. 9 hitter Bryan De La Cruz. A 12 months and a half in the past, when De La Cruz signed with the Braves, I puzzled why a well-run franchise like that will go into enterprise with the worst on a regular basis participant within the league. I truthfully puzzled, primarily based on De La Cruz’s plate self-discipline stats, if he wanted glasses.
De La Cruz singled in Sosa to tie the sport and convey his batting line to .359/.400/.564 in 45 plate appearances with the Phillies. Dave Dombrowski’s entrance workplace had spent greater than $100 million in wage and numerous prospects in trades, all within the fruitless pursuit of the staff’s first respectable right-handed outfielder since Hunter Pence. None of it has labored out in addition to a man on a minor league deal, who’s 4 years and greater than 1,300 plate appearances faraway from his final replacement-level season. The least shocking play of the rally was Schwarber’s 459-foot coup de grace.
The Phillies didn’t even want Mr. Excessive Leverage himself, Derek Hill, to finish their most spectacular comeback of the season. While you’re on a roll, stuff like this simply appears to occur.
Extra and higher omens and portents had been to return. A six-run ninth-inning rally off a star Cardinals reliever introduced again recollections of the rally that received Sport 1 of the 2022 NL Wild Card Sequence for the Phillies. A staff that backed into the playoffs after a 10-season absence was, unexpectedly, not simply glad to be there. That win kicked off a 9-2 run by the NL playoff bracket; the Phillies wouldn’t lose consecutive video games once more till Video games 4, 5, and 6 of the World Sequence. Sunday’s comeback additionally got here on the seventeenth anniversary of Eric Bruntlett’s unassisted triple play, which sewed up a key sport in opposition to the Mets within the 2009 pennant race.
Supernatural forces are famously fickle. The Phillies are about to ship Wheeler out in opposition to a Mariners staff that has the vibes of foundering rubbish scow, and but, I do know higher than to take something without any consideration when writing a few successful streak.
However the Phillies have purchased themselves some much-needed respiratory room within the Wild Card race, and a staff with this many load-bearing 30-somethings and overworked relievers goes to need as a lot of a buffer as it will possibly construct. Perhaps Hill and De La Cruz aren’t going to maintain carrying this staff, however flashes of competence from the likes of Bohm and Nola are sufficient to encourage optimism down the stretch.
You don’t wish to guess the home on omens and portents, however when the celebrities (the metaphysical ones, not Sánchez, Schwarber, Duran, and so forth) align to current a possibility, good groups work out a approach to capitalize.



















