Bay Hill is lengthy, demanding, the tough is thick and in case your lengthy irons aren’t sharp, you are going to really feel it by Saturday. The par 3s aren’t any joke — 200-plus yards — on a course the place a birdie fest is subdued. It is extra about managed tee photographs, sturdy iron play and guys who survive missed greens.
I am searching for balanced tee-to-green gamers with stable lengthy iron numbers and sufficient quick sport means/stability to grind out 4 rounds with out imploding.
Listed below are the gamers that make sense for Bay Hill.
Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook
(with ties) and topic to vary.
Greatest bets
Nicolai Højgaard: High 20 (+148)
Editor’s Picks
2 Associated
Full odds:
High 30 -108
High 10 +360
High 5 +830
To win +5600
The model of Højgaard that missed cuts right here in 2025 is not the model we’re seeing now. Final season he was persistently bleeding strokes across the inexperienced, which is deadly at Bay Hill the place missed greens are assured. Over his final seven rounds, he is been impartial or optimistic, eradicating his greatest legal responsibility.
The ball placing is actual, gaining strokes on strategy in each occasion this yr, and persevering with to supply optimistic off-the-tee numbers. Controlling photographs and long-iron proximity is what separates contenders from survivors.
He is additionally second in par 3 scoring and fourth on par 3s over 200 yards, which straight correlates to Bay Hill’s setup. Add in improved scrambling and a optimistic Bermuda placing break up, and also you’re taking a look at a much more full participant; credit score I did not give him final week.
Højgaard is a balanced tee-to-green participant with short-game stability, which implies his baseline has clearly moved up. If his present kind holds, he is stay to be close to the highest of the leaderboard.
Ryo Hisatsune: High 30 (+156)
Full odds:
High 20 +255
High 10 +680
High 5 +1700
To win +14500
His 2026 profile is quietly sturdy: gaining strokes off the tee, on strategy and across the inexperienced in weighted splits. That sort of throughout the board ball placing performs at Bay Hill, the place positional driving and long-iron management issues greater than pure distance. He is additionally High 20 in each total par 3 scoring and lengthy par 3s. The weak spot is scrambling, which might be uncovered in heavy wind or thick tough. Nevertheless, his GIR charge limits the variety of strain restoration photographs he faces. For a high 30 ticket, Hisatsune simply must keep away from a blow up spherical.
He hasn’t performed at Bay Hill, however that issues much less for a placement market than for a high 10 or higher. Bermuda is his finest floor, making this a structural play constructed on sustainable tee to inexperienced kind moderately than a spike in kind.
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Shane Lowry, $8,600
Lowry is eighth within the subject together with his irons, fifteenth with greens in laws and high 20 in par 3 scoring, all advantages for this course. The purple flags are that he is impartial off the tee, struggles across the inexperienced and barely destructive on this placing floor. But, his iron play creates alternatives. Even when he’s destructive across the inexperienced this week, his GIR reduces publicity to that weak spot. The true angle although is historic consolation with again to again high 10s at Bay Hill. His iron-heavy profile suits the lengthy par 3s and positional tee photographs. So with Lowry, you are getting a powerful strategy, confirmed course efficiency, excessive reduce fairness and high 10 ceiling. He is not an ideal statistical match however his sport interprets nonetheless.
Pierceson Coody, $6,700 and High 20 (+146)
Full odds:
High 10 +360
High 5 + 820
To win +5300
As a substitute of zooming out to his long run resume, I zoomed in on latest kind and noticed his baseline enchancment. This yr, he is constructed one of many strongest tee to inexperienced profiles on this vary: fourth off the tee, sixteenth on strategy, with a GIR charge that is third within the subject. He is high 5 in par 3 scoring, making him an incredible look however then you definately see volatility with the putter and that creates hesitation. Impartial total and barely destructive on Bermuda, so this is not a putting-driven heater. For a High 20 money, he probably wants impartial to barely optimistic efficiency on these greens. The upside is actual although as proven by a T14 right here and a T2 at Torrey earlier this season.
In fantasy, the worth is much more clear. His tee-to-green manufacturing offers him reduce fairness and High 15 ceiling at a mid-tier value. You are paying for kind earlier than the market absolutely corrects.
DFS participant to fade
Scottie Scheffler, $14,200
Greatest participant on the planet, nevertheless it’s about value versus path to first place. He stays elite off the tee, first within the subject and his quick sport has been sharp. The weird half is that the putter is doing extra of the heavy lifting than the irons. His strategy numbers are okay however not practically dominant, typical to what separates him from the sphere when he wins.
At this wage, you’d want a close to lock top-5 end or legit win fairness. Something much less turns into inefficient roster building. If his irons are simply good as a substitute of nice, he turns into extra „sturdy contender“ than overwhelming favourite.
At $14,2000, that restricts lineup flexibility and forces you to sacrifice depth. That is merely betting towards a premium value.
