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WNBA: Which Team Can Make a Run for the Playoffs?

August 11, 2026
in Basketball
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With the common season winding down, which workforce beneath the playoff line has the perfect likelihood of creating a run?

It is onerous to think about any of the present high eight groups within the WNBA standings slipping into an abyss and falling out of the playoff image. The primary three locations – occupied by the Minnesota Lynx, Golden State Valkyries and Las Vegas Aces – are seemingly safe. From there, it might take a significant collapse by the Atlanta Dream, Indiana Fever, Washington Mystics, New York Liberty or Dallas Wings to see the playoff discipline change.

That mentioned, something is feasible, which is why the groups sitting between ninth and twelfth place are holding out hope they will discover their means into the playoff dialog.

Regardless of snapping an 11-game win streak Monday evening with their 97-88 victory over the Chicago Sky, we all know the Seattle Storm will likely be on trip early as they’re already eradicated from the playoffs.

The 14th-place Connecticut Solar traded away arguably who was their finest participant earlier than the deadline after they shipped Aneesah Morrow to Toronto. However the Thirteenth-place Tempo have misplaced 9 in a row after being drubbed in Atlanta on Monday.

That leaves 4 groups to ponder. However is it too late for any of them to make a run?

Which WNBA Staff Can Make A Playoff Push?

ninth place Portland Fireplace (13-19)

The enlargement squad may need had a authentic shot if Sarah Ashlee Barker hadn’t torn her ACL on July 22. Her damage was a major blow to the Fireplace, who have not essentially collapsed, however did expose how skinny their margin for error is whereas forcing different gamers into a lot bigger roles. The Fireplace had been scoring 85.3 factors per sport together with her within the lineup; with out her, they’ve seen their scoring stability come to life as they’re averaging 95.8 PPG. Nonetheless, with out Barker, the Fireplace misplaced versatility, as she had develop into a fixture within the beginning lineup and will rating with out dominating the ball, defend a number of perimeter positions, rebound from the guard spot and supply one other bodily attacker alongside Portland’s different scorers. Now, in opposition to elite opponents, Portland remains to be on the lookout for gamers who can defend, rebound and rating effectively with out requiring performs to be run for them. With seven of the Fireplace’s final 12 video games in opposition to playoff groups, it’s going to be onerous for them to make a run.

(Photograph by Harry How/Getty Pictures)

tenth place Los Angeles Sparks (12-19)

It might have seemed as if the Sparks packed it in for the season after they traded Kelsey Plum simply earlier than the deadline, however they’ve truly remained aggressive, going 2-2 since, with wins over the Fireplace and first-place Minnesota Lynx. With Plum, the Sparks boasted a high-usage guard who would create her personal shot, assault switches and carry giant parts of the offense. The Sparks have truly seen a slight uptick on offense since her departure, as they’re averaging 90.3 PPG because the commerce, a shade increased than their season-long common of 89.2. With out her, Los Angeles‘ possessions have develop into way more balanced, as they’re distributed all through the roster. Dearica Hamby, Rae Burrell and Cameron Brink are all able to shouldering the burden. And if all three are on, the Sparks stay a harmful menace, simply as we noticed in Minneapolis. Additionally, fairly than Plum figuring out when a shot could be taken, the Sparks are extra apt to generate pictures by way of ball motion, transition alternatives and a number of creators, leading to high-percentage pictures. This could be checked out as a developmental profit, giving the Sparks perception into which gamers will likely be a part of their subsequent critical run on the title, however so long as they’re mathematically alive, they will be the legitimate selection of all 4 groups that may make a run.

eleventh place Chicago Sky (12-21)

Had the Sky crushed last-place Seattle on Monday, they may have been taken significantly with 11 video games left within the season. However their 97-88 defeat is alarming because the Storm had been saddled with an 11-game dropping streak. The momentum Chicago had generated by profitable 5 of its earlier 9 video games was just about dropped at an abrupt halt, because it had no room for losses in opposition to groups beneath it. The Sky’s drawback is not merely the eighth loss in 13 video games or falling 9 video games beneath .500; it was the chance that was squandered. Their remaining schedule gave them a minimum of a theoretical alternative to make a late cost, however beating a workforce just like the Storm was basically obligatory. The loss was notably disappointing as a result of Chicago had lately proven indicators of turning into a harmful late-season workforce, even beating Los Angeles, 95-88, on Aug. 5, and its latest losses had usually been aggressive. The Sky aren’t formally eradicated, however their margin for error has gone from extraordinarily small to virtually nonexistent.

Alyssa Thomas Phoenix Mercury WNBA 2025
Photograph by Kate Frese/NBAE by way of Getty Pictures

twelfth place Phoenix Mercury (12-22)

The reigning WNBA runner-up nonetheless has a path to the postseason, however at this level it’s a lengthy shot fairly than a sensible expectation, even with Plum becoming a member of the roster. With 10 video games remaining, the Mercury are nicely behind the groups occupying the ultimate postseason positions. Plum becoming a member of Kahleah Copper and Alyssa-Thomas gave Phoenix three veteran gamers able to taking on stretches of video games, nevertheless it simply hasn’t panned out just like the powers-that-be would have hoped. Since Plum’s arrival, the Mercury rank Thirteenth within the league with 85.0 PPG. Nonetheless, although Phoenix would not essentially must develop into basically completely different to make a run, it simply must get scorching instantly. It is not out of the query, both, because the Mercury’s remaining schedule creates direct alternatives with video games in opposition to Los Angeles, Portland, Atlanta, Washington 3 times, Toronto, Dallas twice and Las Vegas. These Portland and Los Angeles video games are notably vital as a result of these groups are additionally close to Phoenix within the standings.

W.G. Ramirez is a veteran sports activities author from Las Vegas and a Workers Author at Ballislife.com. Comply with him on X at @WillieGRamirez.



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